← Whale Watch

alwaysOn

Predicting since Feb 2025935 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $22K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $14K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.3K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$13K79¢80¢+$120
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$11K92¢99¢+$920
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$12K91¢92¢+$65
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$11K83¢85¢+$139
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$11K88¢88¢-$29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10K91¢92¢+$97
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$8.0K85¢93¢+$655
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$7.0K82¢86¢+$268
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$6.6K96¢97¢+$78
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$5.8K83¢82¢-$58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$6.1K60¢56¢-$363
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5.6K90¢92¢+$121
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.8K85¢89¢+$206
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.6K89¢94¢+$200
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.2K90¢95¢+$180
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.5K91¢99¢+$220
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K96¢96¢+$16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K71¢84¢+$357
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K77¢78¢+$21
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K90¢91¢+$28
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K65¢83¢+$359
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.0K34¢25¢-$545
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K91¢95¢+$51
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K84¢97¢+$159
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K93¢100¢+$75
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$92793¢99¢+$67
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$87087¢85¢-$25
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?PoliticsNo$71579¢91¢+$107
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$78292¢95¢+$27
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$79694¢93¢-$4
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$68581¢85¢+$33
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?PoliticsNo$54892¢95¢+$17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$43086¢88¢+$7
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?PoliticsNo$31065¢90¢+$120
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$16517¢42¢+$255
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$35571¢79¢+$37
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$32890¢90¢+$0
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?PoliticsNo$28989¢88¢-$5
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsNo$25065¢69¢+$13
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?PoliticsNo$21577¢81¢+$12
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?PoliticsNo$18798¢100¢+$3
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?PoliticsNo$17489¢93¢+$7
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?PoliticsYes$30642¢18¢-$174
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsNo$4356¢75¢+$14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$2096¢99¢+$1
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1493¢95¢+$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$1288¢99¢+$2
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$52.0¢1.1¢-$2
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$190¢96¢+$0
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisNoResolved$15444¢0.0¢-$154

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$22K
Tech-$2.1K
Culture-$263
Crypto+$232
Olympics+$209
Tennis-$167
World Cup+$158
Soccer (other)+$88
Economy-$76
Other+$54
Weather+$47
NHL-$30
Biggest hit
+$5.3K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$7.6K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$1881d ago
  • Sold No · Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$1.4K2d ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$242d ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?$132d ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$242d ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$152d ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$92d ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$242d ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$63d ago
  • Sold No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$13d ago
  • Sold No · Trump out as President before 2027?$13d ago
  • Sold No · Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$13d ago