 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $280 | 28¢ | 42¢ | +$140 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $52 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$10 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $72 | 9.0¢ | 3.6¢ | -$42 |
 Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | +$4 |
 Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$6 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340–355 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $9 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440–460 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $87 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165–170 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Tech | NoResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $34 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$250 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GPT ads by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionPolitics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $36 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift EditionCulture | NoResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $38 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $38 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $41 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200–205 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $8 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $28 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $77 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $34 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290–295 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $21 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $26 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $16 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.8%?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Meta (META) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $46 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionTech | NoResolved | $70 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $30 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?Economy | YesResolved | $28 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |