← Whale Watch

zthunderfury

Predicting since Oct 2025427 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.3K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $38K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.7K on US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$32K94¢96¢+$545
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$26K94¢96¢+$657
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$24K88¢95¢+$1.7K
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$21K80¢90¢+$2.6K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$17K71¢81¢+$2.2K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$17K84¢86¢+$260
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$14K94¢95¢+$177
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$14K93¢97¢+$585
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11K74¢89¢+$2.1K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$6.8K50¢80¢+$4.0K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$10K96¢97¢+$124
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.6K92¢95¢+$258
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.4K97¢99¢+$184
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$5.3K92¢96¢+$202
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6.8K50¢20¢-$4.0K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$2.6K88¢88¢-$15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K90¢92¢+$28
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K79¢86¢+$106
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceYes$98398¢97¢-$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$85485¢85¢-$4
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$73976¢73¢-$32
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$53276¢81¢+$32
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$41278¢78¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$22575¢87¢+$35
Stripe IPO before 2027?TechNo$24692¢97¢+$13
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$28055¢38¢-$89
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$14030¢24¢-$30
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8390¢92¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$1414¢43¢+$29
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$2010¢6.0¢-$8
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechNo$488¢80¢-$0
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?PoliticsYesResolved$386.4¢0.0¢-$38

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$6.3K
Tech+$3.1K
Culture+$1.5K
Weather+$588
Finance-$546
World Cup+$363
Economy-$307
Tennis+$300
NFL-$229
NHL-$218
Other sports+$38
Formula 1+$33
Biggest hit
+$5.7K
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$16K
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$9844m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$8595m ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$838m ago
  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.0K29m ago
  • SPLIT Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.9K46m ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$5.3K1h ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$1001h ago
  • SPLIT Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.5K1h ago
  • Sold No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$1.0K1h ago
  • Bought No · Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$8401h ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$3571h ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$8151h ago