← Whale Watch
2026ismyyear
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $110 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$18 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $15 | 42¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
 Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 3.3¢ | 1.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 6.9¢ | -$5 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$180
Culture-$8
Biggest hit
+$198
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Toughest beat
-$40
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Recent moves
- Bought Yes · Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?$104d ago
- Sold Yes · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1114d ago