 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $26 | 37¢ | 78¢ | +$29 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $28 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $18 | 39¢ | 77¢ | +$17 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $15 | 49¢ | 88¢ | +$12 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $21 | 63¢ | 78¢ | +$5 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $18 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 27¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $12 | 56¢ | 91¢ | +$8 |
 Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $17 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $18 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $17 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 73¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $18 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Tech | No | $15 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $14 | 41¢ | 53¢ | +$4 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 47¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $16 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 62¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | No | $16 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 52¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $9 | 55¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $15 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $15 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $15 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $11 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $16 | 78¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?MLB | No | $14 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $20 | 58¢ | 38¢ | -$7 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 61¢ | +$7 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $8 | 68¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $7 | 68¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $14 | 71¢ | 49¢ | -$5 |
 Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Golf | No | $3 | 21¢ | 59¢ | +$6 |
 Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $29 | 74¢ | 23¢ | -$20 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 60¢ | 24¢ | -$12 |
 Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $4 | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Tech | No | $6 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 26¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $21 | 41¢ | 9.3¢ | -$16 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 75¢ | 53¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $5 | 59¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 82¢ | 51¢ | -$3 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $8 | 59¢ | 28¢ | -$4 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts?Politics | No | $2 | 44¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | No | $2 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 41¢ | 13¢ | -$6 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $8 | 24¢ | 6.1¢ | -$6 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison?Culture | Yes | $11 | 28¢ | 5.5¢ | -$9 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 28¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $6 | 77¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 71¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 38¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 25¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Politics | Yes | $2 | 46¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?Culture | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Netflix say "Gaming" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionPolitics | YesResolved | $3 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 160 and 189 seats?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $9 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump say "Hat" or "MAGA" during the Black History Month reception?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Hemedti out of power by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 2?Weather | YesResolved | $61 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "Stray Kids: The dominATE Experience" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.25m?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Zach Charbonnet: Anytime TouchdownNFL | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $15 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 11 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will "Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
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