← Whale Watch

tywed

Predicting since Sep 20251,015 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $10K on Crypto markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $3.2K riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?TechNo$1.6K69¢84¢+$344
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K89¢96¢+$142
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K83¢96¢+$174
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$64550¢56¢+$86
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?TechAnthropic$38464¢78¢+$84
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$43687¢93¢+$28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$16040¢74¢+$134
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$26187¢95¢+$22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$13347¢92¢+$126
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$24464¢64¢-$2
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$6231¢80¢+$97
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$11639¢38¢-$2
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$9648¢56¢+$15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$7777¢88¢+$11
Will Little Joe escape again?CultureNo$8494¢96¢+$1
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?NFLYes$414¢40¢+$7
Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027?OtherNo$156¢90¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$57932¢0.0¢-$579
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$90736¢0.0¢-$907
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$20243¢0.0¢-$202
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$28855¢0.0¢-$288
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$53667¢0.0¢-$536
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$9933¢0.0¢-$99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$85784¢0.0¢-$857
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2.1K40¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?PoliticsNoResolved$5683¢0.0¢-$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.2K29¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?CultureYesResolved$32273¢0.0¢-$322
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$12543¢0.0¢-$125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3168¢0.0¢-$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1.3K36¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1.8K44¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3.2K43¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$10K
Politics-$4.6K
Mentions-$739
Culture-$615
Tech+$428
NFL+$43
Weather-$24
Other+$0
Biggest hit
+$283
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?