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Kageyo

Predicting since Jan 2026206 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$2015¢42¢+$35
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?TechNo$2033¢88¢+$32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1553¢44¢-$3
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2014¢8.5¢-$8
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1026¢27¢+$0
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$528¢43¢+$3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1027¢20¢-$3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$53.8¢5.1¢+$2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$51.8¢2.4¢+$2
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?PoliticsYes$514¢17¢+$1
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$207.3¢2.1¢-$14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$108.3¢3.6¢-$6
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$2026¢4.5¢-$16
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? PoliticsYes$515¢9.6¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$521¢13¢-$2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$510.0¢5.5¢-$2
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$528¢12¢-$3
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$51.0¢0.4¢-$3
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$511¢3.5¢-$3
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1021¢3.2¢-$8
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsYes$36.0¢2.1¢-$2
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$522¢4.5¢-$4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$52.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$2544¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?EconomyYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$58.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?PoliticsNoResolved$1544¢0.0¢-$15
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in February?PoliticsYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$26.3¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2035¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?PoliticsYesResolved$922¢0.0¢-$9
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?PoliticsYesResolved$54.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?PoliticsYesResolved$58.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$519¢0.0¢-$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$48.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$41.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$53.7¢0.0¢-$5
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$932¢0.0¢-$9
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?PoliticsNoResolved$310.0¢0.0¢-$3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$32.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$57.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1540¢0.0¢-$15
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$1310¢0.0¢-$13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$43.6¢0.0¢-$4
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$53.3¢0.0¢-$5
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$104.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$35.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$52.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$57.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$61.6¢0.0¢-$6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?TechYesResolved$1544¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureNoResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$519¢0.0¢-$5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?PoliticsNoResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$52.0¢0.0¢-$5
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?PoliticsYesResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?PoliticsNoResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$54.8¢0.0¢-$5
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?PoliticsYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Iran leadership change by March 13?PoliticsYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?PoliticsYesResolved$59.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$25.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$54.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$36.8¢0.0¢-$3
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2036¢0.0¢-$20
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$52.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$56.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$61.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$52.2¢0.0¢-$5
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$169
Olympics-$86
NFL-$42
Mentions+$33
Tech-$28
Champions League+$21
Culture-$21
Weather-$8
Crypto-$6
Economy-$5
Finance-$5
Premier League-$5
Biggest hit
+$128
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Toughest beat
-$61
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?