 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $20 | 15¢ | 77¢ | +$82 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $20 | 33¢ | 98¢ | +$39 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $25 | 52¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$11 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.8¢ | 5.4¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.8¢ | 1.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.3¢ | 4.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 40¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 26¢ | 4.6¢ | -$16 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $20 | 7.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$17 |
 Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 3.8¢ | -$3 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 28¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 4.4¢ | -$4 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 2.9¢ | -$4 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 28¢ | 6.2¢ | -$4 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 22¢ | 4.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in February?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 ICE forced to unmask by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Other | NoResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |