Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $1 | 67¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 69¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 48¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 8.6¢ | +$0 |
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Crypto | ETHResolved | $1 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ethereum flipped in 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?Finance | YesResolved | $15 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 10AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Charlie Kirk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 15?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 15?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 15?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |