← Whale Watch

justme003

Predicting since Jul 2025266 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $15K on Finance markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $19K riding on Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$2.4K on Megaquake by June 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$19K86¢89¢+$437
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherNo$15K78¢91¢+$2.4K
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$14K64¢74¢+$2.1K
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$10K70¢91¢+$3.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.4K76¢92¢+$2.0K
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$9.4K96¢98¢+$288
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$8.8K98¢99¢+$145
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$6.8K84¢79¢-$359
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5.6K80¢89¢+$636
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.7K91¢93¢+$124
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5.0K86¢92¢+$304
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.9K84¢88¢+$228
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3.9K65¢83¢+$1.1K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.8K95¢99¢+$218
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.7K83¢88¢+$186
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyNo$3.8K84¢85¢+$41
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.2K97¢97¢+$21
Megaquake by July 31?WeatherNo$2.9K92¢98¢+$182
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.0K84¢87¢+$71
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1.8K76¢85¢+$215
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K93¢96¢+$50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.7K78¢76¢-$46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$1.5K87¢94¢+$110
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$1.5K92¢92¢+$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.2K77¢89¢+$181
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K94¢95¢+$7
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K84¢94¢+$140
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K91¢94¢+$34
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$1.3K89¢88¢-$15
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$1.4K95¢82¢-$190
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$96597¢97¢+$7
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$94094¢93¢-$15
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$94489¢85¢-$42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$71198¢99¢+$9
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$60089¢95¢+$38
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$37282¢93¢+$48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$34191¢94¢+$9
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$30580¢88¢+$28
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$30388¢96¢+$26
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$28792¢93¢+$2
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$28388¢89¢+$2
D4vd released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$20292¢94¢+$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$16372¢81¢+$19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$13087¢96¢+$14
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$9587¢94¢+$7
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$8787¢97¢+$10
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$9090¢89¢-$2
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8585¢71¢-$14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$4488¢96¢+$4
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4292¢89¢-$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4022¢17¢-$9
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$1878¢83¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$15K
Weather+$6.4K
World Cup-$6.1K
Politics-$3.4K
Crypto+$2.1K
Economy+$1.3K
Tech-$1.3K
Champions League+$278
Culture+$118
Olympics-$117
Biggest hit
+$2.4K
Megaquake by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$4.5K
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8443m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$344m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9649m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$750m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8750m ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$2332h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$22h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$662h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$793h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$2064h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$1304h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$64h ago