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SmallPuddles

Predicting since Apr 202575 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsNoResolved$3053¢100¢+$27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsNoResolved$3064¢100¢+$17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsNoResolved$2053¢100¢+$18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?FinanceNoResolved$3083¢100¢+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?FinanceNoResolved$3091¢100¢+$3
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2063¢100¢+$12
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2070¢100¢+$9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?PoliticsNoResolved$2071¢100¢+$8
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2081¢100¢+$5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?OtherYes$2077¢93¢+$4
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?PoliticsNoResolved$2086¢100¢+$3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2018¢20¢+$3
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$2055¢61¢+$2
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2095¢100¢+$1
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsNo$2074¢64¢-$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$3051¢20¢-$19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1041¢44¢+$1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2011¢5.5¢-$10
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsYes$2512¢4.3¢-$16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$3033¢8.5¢-$22
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$2032¢12¢-$13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$1025¢13¢-$5
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?PoliticsYes$1048¢21¢-$6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$1017¢5.5¢-$7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3046¢0.0¢-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?PoliticsNoResolved$1062¢0.0¢-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?PoliticsYesResolved$7014¢0.0¢-$70
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$7042¢0.0¢-$70
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?PoliticsNoResolved$2061¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?PoliticsNoResolved$3062¢0.0¢-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3072¢0.0¢-$30
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?PoliticsLeadership ChangeResolved$3055¢0.0¢-$30
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2055¢0.0¢-$20
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$2066¢0.0¢-$20
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$1131¢0.0¢-$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?FinanceNoResolved$4070¢0.0¢-$40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5064¢0.0¢-$50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$1069¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$29525¢0.0¢-$295
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$3034¢0.0¢-$30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?PoliticsNoResolved$1226¢0.0¢-$12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$2045¢0.0¢-$20
Netanyahu out by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$34.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?TechNoResolved$3064¢0.0¢-$30
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$3024¢0.0¢-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$8018¢0.0¢-$80
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2070¢0.0¢-$20
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?PoliticsNoResolved$1088¢0.0¢-$10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$1863¢0.0¢-$18
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?PoliticsNoResolved$2062¢0.0¢-$20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3083¢0.0¢-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$742
Finance-$57
Economy-$54
Crypto-$30
Tech-$24
Mentions+$14
Other+$4
Biggest hit
+$15
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Toughest beat
-$11
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?