 JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | Yes | $550 | 9.6¢ | 6.0¢ | -$207 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $645 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$308 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $300 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$16 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $150 | 48¢ | 88¢ | +$122 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $110 | 18¢ | 42¢ | +$142 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $200 | 61¢ | 73¢ | +$41 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $189 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$35 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $205 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $200 | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $150 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $200 | 42¢ | 27¢ | -$75 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 38¢ | 44¢ | +$16 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $130 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$21 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 68¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $100 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$8 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $137 | 53¢ | 32¢ | -$54 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$31 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 38¢ | 30¢ | -$20 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $70 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $115 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | -$54 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$10 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $120 | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$62 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $60 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$6 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $80 | 4.4¢ | 2.8¢ | -$30 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $40 | 47¢ | 58¢ | +$9 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | -$15 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 29¢ | 37¢ | +$8 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $50 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $60 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | -$23 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 31¢ | 23¢ | -$13 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $30 | 54¢ | 65¢ | +$6 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$16 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $100 | 69¢ | 24¢ | -$66 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $70 | 2.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$38 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$11 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | Yes | $30 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.8¢ | 17¢ | +$13 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $29 | 35¢ | 21¢ | -$12 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 27¢ | 15¢ | -$13 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$5 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 62¢ | 46¢ | -$5 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 30¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 5.3¢ | 3.6¢ | -$6 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | Yes | $20 | 16¢ | 9.6¢ | -$8 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $25 | 15¢ | 7.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $18 | 36¢ | 20¢ | -$8 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 46¢ | 21¢ | -$11 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | Yes | $20 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$12 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$2 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 30¢ | 16¢ | -$7 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 19¢ | 6.5¢ | -$13 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 74¢ | 42¢ | -$4 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Politics | Yes | $25 | 13¢ | 2.5¢ | -$20 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 17¢ | 3.6¢ | -$16 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $30 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$26 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
Sold No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1302d ago
Cashed out Yes · England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?$04d ago
Cashed out No · Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$04d ago
Cashed out No · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$04d ago