 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $110 | 18¢ | 83¢ | +$385 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $335 | 29¢ | 24¢ | -$67 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | Yes | $550 | 9.6¢ | 4.5¢ | -$293 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $200 | 69¢ | 89¢ | +$56 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $205 | 57¢ | 65¢ | +$29 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $189 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$43 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 38¢ | 84¢ | +$120 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $200 | 67¢ | 60¢ | -$22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $150 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$13 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $123 | 22¢ | 26¢ | +$24 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $220 | 40¢ | 27¢ | -$75 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $755 | 25¢ | 3.5¢ | -$650 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $104 | 27¢ | 22¢ | -$21 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $80 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 51¢ | 38¢ | -$26 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $157 | 46¢ | 21¢ | -$86 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $130 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$67 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $70 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$18 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 38¢ | 14¢ | -$61 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$26 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$22 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $100 | 69¢ | 19¢ | -$73 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $60 | 0.5¢ | 0.2¢ | -$36 |
 US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 70¢ | 47¢ | -$10 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 42¢ | 23¢ | -$15 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $115 | 16¢ | 2.4¢ | -$98 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $50 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$33 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $80 | 4.4¢ | 0.7¢ | -$67 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $25 | 15¢ | 6.3¢ | -$15 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $18 | 36¢ | 16¢ | -$10 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | Yes | $20 | 26¢ | 9.5¢ | -$13 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | Yes | $30 | 21¢ | 4.5¢ | -$23 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 46¢ | 14¢ | -$14 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 30¢ | 11¢ | -$11 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | Yes | $20 | 16¢ | 4.3¢ | -$15 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $70 | 2.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$65 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 17¢ | 4.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $60 | 14¢ | 1.1¢ | -$55 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 30¢ | 8.5¢ | -$11 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$6 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Politics | Yes | $25 | 13¢ | 1.1¢ | -$23 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$8 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$8 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $500 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Sold Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$531d ago
Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$13114d ago