← Whale Watch

luckystone315

Predicting since Aug 20248,932 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $10K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Biggest hit: +$9.3K on Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$7892¢92¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$6682¢83¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$4379¢87¢+$4
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4194¢94¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$3591¢94¢+$1
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$12.7¢38¢+$19
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$1222¢27¢+$3
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsYes$534¢94¢+$9
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$1812¢7.3¢-$7
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$105.0¢5.5¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$1513¢9.5¢-$4
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?PoliticsYesResolved$990¢100¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?PoliticsYes$1213¢11¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$2128¢13¢-$12
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$994¢92¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$888¢95¢+$1
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$886¢100¢+$1
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$451¢100¢+$4
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?PoliticsYes$773¢85¢+$1
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$224¢87¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?PoliticsYes$791¢96¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$559¢75¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$687¢94¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$684¢88¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$686¢92¢+$0
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other)YesResolved$691¢100¢+$1
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?PoliticsYes$45.7¢8.0¢+$2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?WeatherYesResolved$119¢100¢+$5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$454¢79¢+$2
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?PoliticsYesResolved$478¢100¢+$1
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$00.3¢15¢+$5
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$581¢81¢+$0
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$239¢100¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$592¢91¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$477¢84¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$593¢94¢+$0
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?NFLYes$475¢85¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?PoliticsYes$468¢76¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$482¢83¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$485¢89¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$555¢50¢-$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$446¢55¢+$1
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$46.5¢7.5¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$491¢94¢+$0
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?eSportsYes$467¢66¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$365¢78¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$493¢94¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$367¢78¢+$1
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$230¢43¢+$1
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?TechYesResolved$388¢100¢+$0
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$224¢47¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$479¢69¢-$0
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved$125¢100¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$364¢72¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$412¢11¢-$0
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$238¢68¢+$1
Will Travis Kelce be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?CultureYes$46.0¢5.2¢-$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$111¢34¢+$2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$657¢26¢-$4
Will Hudson Williams be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?CultureYes$39.0¢8.5¢-$0
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsYesResolved$281¢100¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?PoliticsYes$285¢87¢+$0
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?TennisYesResolved$287¢100¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$276¢83¢+$0
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?PoliticsYesResolved$154¢100¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$37.0¢5.5¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$239¢42¢+$0
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Serie AYesResolved$08.0¢100¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$293¢94¢+$0
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?CultureYesResolved$281¢100¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$246¢49¢+$0
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$144¢100¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$372¢56¢-$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$014¢82¢+$2
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?PoliticsYesResolved$165¢100¢+$1
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?CultureYes$29.0¢8.5¢-$0
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$119¢36¢+$1
Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?PoliticsYesResolved$027¢100¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$272¢78¢+$0
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$336¢21¢-$1
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$230¢21¢-$1
Will Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$191¢100¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$236¢23¢-$1
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$014¢52¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?PoliticsYes$225¢18¢-$1
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$175¢92¢+$0
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$110¢14¢+$0
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?PoliticsYes$162¢95¢+$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$158¢81¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$190¢94¢+$0
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$180¢96¢+$0
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsYes$146¢73¢+$0
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsYes$183¢92¢+$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureYes$030¢80¢+$1
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?TechYes$187¢95¢+$0
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$114¢13¢-$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$11.0¢0.9¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?PoliticsYes$116¢14¢-$0
Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsYes$13.3¢2.6¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$143¢44¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$10K
NBA-$1.8K
NFL+$976
Premier League+$962
La Liga+$668
Culture+$446
Economy-$223
Other sports+$140
Champions League+$122
Crypto+$118
Formula 1+$114
Other+$103
Biggest hit
+$9.3K
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Toughest beat
-$12K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$24d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?$2711d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?$625d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$125d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$525d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?$125d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?$725d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1029d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?$31mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?$11mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?$42mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$22mo ago