 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $107 | 3.2¢ | 4.5¢ | +$41 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 1.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$3 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 1.0¢ | +$19 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 61¢ | 49¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | +$7 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 9.5¢ | 10¢ | +$1 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 35¢ | 48¢ | +$5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | +$8 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.0¢ | 3.1¢ | +$9 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 4.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$6 |
 Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | +$6 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 1.1¢ | 5.5¢ | +$8 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $12 | 9.9¢ | 7.2¢ | -$3 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.7¢ | 2.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $15 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
 Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 6.9¢ | 3.6¢ | -$7 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.6¢ | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.3¢ | 1.8¢ | -$2 |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $7 | 6.9¢ | 6.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours?Tech | Yes | $4 | 4.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 18¢ | 6.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 ByteDance IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $8 | 4.0¢ | 2.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.4¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 1.1¢ | +$4 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 4.7¢ | 1.7¢ | -$9 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.3¢ | 3.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 4.0¢ | 2.2¢ | -$4 |
 Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.6¢ | +$2 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | +$2 |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.1¢ | 0.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.7¢ | 1.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.7¢ | +$3 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $3 | 1.5¢ | 1.6¢ | +$0 |
 Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?Culture | Yes | $2 | 1.6¢ | 2.1¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | +$2 |
 Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 58¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$8 |
 Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 1.3¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.2¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 4.5¢ | 3.8¢ | -$0 |
 Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 3.3¢ | 3.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$2 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 3.2¢ | +$2 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rubén Guajardo Barrera win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 3.2¢ | +$1 |
| Will Meta have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 1.3¢ | +$1 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech | No | $1 | 3.0¢ | 3.6¢ | +$0 |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 3.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$12 |
 Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.6¢ | 1.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
 Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.3¢ | 2.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.40 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.5¢ | 1.3¢ | +$1 |
| Will Stabilitātei! (ST!) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 15¢ | 2.1¢ | -$6 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his remarks in Arlington?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1430m ago