 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $22 | 43¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $61 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$43 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | Yes | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 1.1¢ | 5.5¢ | +$8 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | Yes | $9 | 2.9¢ | 2.8¢ | -$0 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.7¢ | 1.7¢ | +$0 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.5¢ | 4.7¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.8¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 9.2¢ | 9.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | No | $11 | 9.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$8 |
 Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 4.5¢ | 4.7¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.4¢ | 1.7¢ | -$3 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ | 1.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 4.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
 Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | -$4 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
 Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
| Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.7¢ | 1.6¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.6¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
 Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.2¢ | 1.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 9?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on July 14?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 13?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
