 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $466 | 52¢ | 83¢ | +$280 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $189 | 49¢ | 67¢ | +$67 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $181 | 53¢ | 75¢ | +$72 |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | Yes | $136 | 42¢ | 76¢ | +$111 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $98 | 33¢ | 82¢ | +$143 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $120 | 42¢ | 68¢ | +$72 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $169 | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$17 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $374 | 41¢ | 17¢ | -$222 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Economy | Yes | $101 | 56¢ | 71¢ | +$26 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $131 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$25 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | Yes | $83 | 55¢ | 65¢ | +$14 |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | Yes | $38 | 38¢ | 95¢ | +$57 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 22¢ | 54¢ | +$55 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $129 | 45¢ | 32¢ | -$40 |
 Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $18 | 23¢ | 99¢ | +$61 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $35 | 44¢ | 95¢ | +$40 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $66 | 40¢ | 45¢ | +$7 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $58 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$10 |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Tech | Yes | $94 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$26 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $46 | 33¢ | 48¢ | +$21 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $56 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
 Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $47 | 53¢ | 68¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 27¢ | 58¢ | +$29 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $177 | 60¢ | 17¢ | -$127 |
 Will the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $50 | 53¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $47 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 22¢ | 53¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | Yes | $54 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Vikings win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $37 | 37¢ | 47¢ | +$10 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $44 | 68¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 45¢ | 54¢ | +$7 |
| Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics | Yes | $34 | 52¢ | 69¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 19¢ | 35¢ | +$20 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | Yes | $55 | 50¢ | 40¢ | -$11 |
 Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $13 | 28¢ | 98¢ | +$31 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $15 | 14¢ | 39¢ | +$28 |
| Will the season series between the Packers and Vikings end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $56 | 58¢ | 43¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Economy | Yes | $61 | 34¢ | 23¢ | -$21 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Tech | Yes | $37 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
 Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 37¢ | 53¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $34 | 40¢ | 47¢ | +$6 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $47 | 43¢ | 35¢ | -$9 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $39 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $82 | 47¢ | 20¢ | -$47 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $19 | 23¢ | 41¢ | +$16 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $24 | 59¢ | 87¢ | +$11 |
 Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?MLS | Yes | $36 | 42¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics | Yes | $20 | 58¢ | 98¢ | +$14 |
 Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Finance | Yes | $2 | 3.9¢ | 84¢ | +$32 |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $21 | 33¢ | 51¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $30 | 28¢ | 31¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 29¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $40 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$8 |
| Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $16 | 14¢ | 30¢ | +$16 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 29¢ | 48¢ | +$12 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $11 | 13¢ | 38¢ | +$20 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $34 | 39¢ | 35¢ | -$4 |
| Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 41¢ | 35¢ | -$5 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $21 | 27¢ | 38¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$3 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Economy | Yes | $21 | 30¢ | 42¢ | +$9 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Economy | Yes | $20 | 28¢ | 42¢ | +$10 |
 Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 23¢ | 33¢ | +$9 |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?MLS | Yes | $26 | 31¢ | 35¢ | +$3 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $23 | 51¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 32¢ | 82¢ | +$17 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.2¢ | 16¢ | +$25 |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 51¢ | 37¢ | -$11 |
| Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $33 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 15¢ | 30¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Lions win the season series against the Bears during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $21 | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Politics | Yes | $24 | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 68¢ | +$18 |
 Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $19 | 27¢ | 39¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $22 | 64¢ | 77¢ | +$4 |
 Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?Tech | Yes | $25 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $21 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $46 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$21 |
 Will Les Républicains hold 125-128 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 31¢ | 45¢ | +$7 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?Economy | Yes | $15 | 19¢ | 30¢ | +$9 |
 Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 44¢ | 39¢ | -$3 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Politics | Yes | $20 | 30¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $34 | 24¢ | 16¢ | -$11 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 26¢ | 31¢ | +$3 |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Economy | Yes | $26 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $28 | 38¢ | 30¢ | -$6 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | Yes | $19 | 31¢ | 38¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Bears win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $20 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 12¢ | 6.2¢ | -$19 |
| Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?MLS | Yes | $20 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $22 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $22 | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$6 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $18 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
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