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Peasantfarmer

Predicting since May 2026233 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$816¢29¢+$7
Maduro guilty of all counts?PoliticsYes$310¢48¢+$11
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$1012¢17¢+$4
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1020¢26¢+$3
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?TechYes$1014¢18¢+$3
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1010¢13¢+$3
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$1020¢23¢+$2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1018¢20¢+$1
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$1014¢14¢-$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$1518¢12¢-$5
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?TechYes$1016¢14¢-$1
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$517¢29¢+$4
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechYes$512¢20¢+$3
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYes$516¢27¢+$3
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$1015¢13¢-$2
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?TechYes$1015¢13¢-$2
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsYes$618¢22¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1020¢14¢-$3
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$1312¢6.5¢-$6
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBYes$511¢16¢+$2
Rippling IPO before 2027?TechYes$614¢15¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$815¢13¢-$1
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$917¢12¢-$3
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$1020¢13¢-$4
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$818¢14¢-$2
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$518¢22¢+$1
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$814¢11¢-$2
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$713¢12¢-$1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$820¢14¢-$2
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?PoliticsYes$918¢13¢-$3
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsYes$510¢12¢+$1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$816¢12¢-$2
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$818¢13¢-$3
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$512¢13¢+$0
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherYes$1018¢9.5¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$1018¢9.5¢-$5
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$617¢14¢-$1
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$1014¢6.9¢-$5
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$518¢18¢+$0
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$518¢18¢+$0
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$818¢11¢-$3
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsNo$1019¢9.5¢-$5
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$816¢9.5¢-$3
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoYes$518¢18¢-$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?TechYes$912¢6.5¢-$4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$513¢12¢-$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1019¢8.5¢-$6
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1019¢8.5¢-$6
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$1017¢7.5¢-$6
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$514¢12¢-$1
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$613¢9.5¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$814¢7.5¢-$4
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$514¢12¢-$1
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsYes$514¢12¢-$1
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsYes$512¢11¢-$1
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? PoliticsYes$512¢9.6¢-$1
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?TechYes$518¢14¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1014¢5.5¢-$6
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1014¢5.5¢-$6
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$818¢9.0¢-$4
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$516¢14¢-$1
Will BP be acquired before 2027?TechYes$514¢11¢-$1
OKX IPO in 2026?CryptoYes$512¢9.0¢-$1
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$513¢10¢-$1
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$516¢12¢-$1
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$514¢10¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$512¢8.5¢-$2
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsYes$512¢8.5¢-$2
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$517¢12¢-$1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$517¢12¢-$1
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$312¢14¢+$0
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$511¢7.3¢-$2
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1016¢5.5¢-$7
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherYes$320¢22¢+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$1018¢5.9¢-$7
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$1017¢5.5¢-$7
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$512¢7.5¢-$2
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$512¢7.5¢-$2
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$516¢11¢-$2
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1018¢5.7¢-$7
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$320¢21¢+$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$217¢26¢+$1
Databricks IPO before 2027?TechYes$515¢9.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1019¢5.5¢-$7
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsYes$518¢11¢-$2
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLYes$510¢5.7¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$514¢7.5¢-$2
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechNo$616¢7.5¢-$3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$518¢9.5¢-$2
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$710¢3.6¢-$5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$415¢9.5¢-$1
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$520¢10¢-$3
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$516¢8.3¢-$2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$520¢9.5¢-$3
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$516¢7.5¢-$3
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherNo$512¢5.5¢-$3
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsYes$213¢14¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$320¢15¢-$1
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$512¢5.3¢-$3
Vanta IPO before 2027?TechYes$314¢9.5¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$205
Crypto-$51
Finance+$39
Economy-$31
NBA+$31
NHL-$15
Tech+$13
Soccer (other)+$11
Formula 1-$10
Premier League-$9
Culture-$8
Weather-$4
Biggest hit
+$27
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$9
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$215d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$06d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$010d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1210d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1510d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$111d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2911d ago