← Whale Watch

GenaTheBondKilIer

Predicting since Jul 20241,093 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $3.0K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1.5K50¢80¢+$886
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.5K50¢20¢-$886
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$41666¢85¢+$116
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoNo$32562¢84¢+$113
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$32720¢22¢+$28
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$26187¢94¢+$20
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?WeatherNo$23590¢95¢+$13
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$19275¢76¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$15678¢95¢+$33
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsNo$25149¢36¢-$66
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17688¢92¢+$7
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17889¢91¢+$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$14572¢77¢+$8
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$13892¢97¢+$7
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$20759¢38¢-$75
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsNo$9596¢97¢+$1
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?eSportsYes$8631¢34¢+$7
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢11¢+$64
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1317.8¢4.2¢-$61
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?EconomyNo$6588¢94¢+$4
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$6064¢71¢+$6
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9124¢17¢-$28
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢8.5¢+$50
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5353¢57¢+$4
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$17245¢14¢-$116
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$911.3¢0.8¢-$38
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$3055¢92¢+$20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$4925¢24¢-$2
Will Nino Monteiro win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$4396¢100¢+$2
Will Elsa Pinto win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$3395¢100¢+$2
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$81.4¢4.9¢+$21
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechNo$2584¢96¢+$3
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?PoliticsNo$2572¢69¢-$1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$2828¢24¢-$4
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$81.4¢3.5¢+$13
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?PoliticsNo$1668¢91¢+$5
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsNo$1617¢20¢+$2
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$1260¢90¢+$6
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$1511¢13¢+$2
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢2.1¢+$4
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢1.7¢+$2
Spain snap election called in 2026?PoliticsYes$1528¢20¢-$5
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢1.5¢+$1
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢1.5¢+$1
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢1.2¢-$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$1011¢7.5¢-$4
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢0.8¢-$4
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$10.1¢0.4¢+$4
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$20.2¢0.5¢+$3
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$525¢23¢-$1
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.4¢0.8¢+$2
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$101.4¢0.5¢-$6
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.3¢0.6¢+$2
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$10.1¢0.4¢+$2
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?EconomyYes$833¢7.2¢-$6
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$20.2¢0.1¢-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$418¢7.7¢-$2
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$15.0¢10¢+$1
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$30.1¢0.1¢-$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$193¢96¢+$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6114¢0.0¢-$61
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?TechYesResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$61.0¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$10K
Crypto+$3.1K
Finance+$784
Boxing-$554
Other-$476
Economy+$408
Olympics+$365
Other sports+$211
Mentions-$173
Soccer (other)-$150
Weather-$99
World Cup-$61
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?
Toughest beat
-$390
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?$12h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?$02h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?$22h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?$02h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?$22h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$01d ago