Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $235 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $86 | 60¢ | 95¢ | +$50 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $53 | 28¢ | 54¢ | +$47 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $40 | 60¢ | 55¢ | -$4 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $540 | 10¢ | 0.7¢ | -$506 |
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 6.1¢ | 11¢ | +$12 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.3¢ | 79¢ | +$20 |
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $16 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Politics | No | $19 | 72¢ | 61¢ | -$3 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 3.1¢ | 8.8¢ | +$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 11?Weather | No | $13 | 93¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 11?Weather | No | $8 | 55¢ | 73¢ | +$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on September 11?Weather | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 54¢ | +$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 9.1¢ | 56¢ | +$9 |
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | No | $9 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Culture | No | $9 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 11?Weather | No | $7 | 51¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
Will Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.3¢ | 8.0¢ | +$5 |
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 9.4¢ | +$4 |
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $0 | 3.4¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Will Ciro Nogueira win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.1¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $18 | 72¢ | 14¢ | -$14 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 11?Weather | No | $4 | 62¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $9 | 9.9¢ | 3.5¢ | -$6 |
Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $3 | 47¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $202 | 4.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$199 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$168 |
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$168 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$168 |
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$168 |
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$168 |
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$168 |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$168 |
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$168 |
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $149 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$147 |
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $149 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$147 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $148 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$146 |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $147 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$145 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $140 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$138 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $119 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$117 |
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 11?Weather | No | $1 | 52¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 65¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $99 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$98 |
Will Bernard Arnault be 3rd richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $21 | 18¢ | 0.9¢ | -$20 |
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 9.1¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will White House post 80-99 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $29 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will White House post 140-159 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will White House post 60-79 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $26 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will White House post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will White House post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will White House post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will White House post 100-119 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |