OswaldMcFurther

Predicting since Dec 202557 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.2K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $15K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$3.7K	25¢	59¢	+$5.0K
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$5.6K	85¢	99¢	+$943
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$6.1K	90¢	93¢	+$161
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$5.4K	49¢	41¢	-$945
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$4.2K	76¢	70¢	-$337
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Politics	Yes	$627	71¢	92¢	+$177
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$711	75¢	77¢	+$16
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?Politics	Yes	$460	81¢	91¢	+$56
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Politics	Yes	$710	73¢	52¢	-$202
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics	Yes	$463	81¢	80¢	-$8
Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Politics	Yes	$380	71¢	69¢	-$13
Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Politics	Yes	$275	84¢	99¢	+$49
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics	Yes	$120	28¢	74¢	+$200
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$300	86¢	91¢	+$18
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics	No	$225	14¢	19¢	+$72
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$200	47¢	57¢	+$45
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Politics	Yes	$175	70¢	92¢	+$56
Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics	No	$200	84¢	94¢	+$24
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Politics	Yes	$300	70¢	38¢	-$136
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics	Yes	$120	70¢	91¢	+$36
Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Politics	Yes	$151	50¢	46¢	-$12
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$129	42¢	38¢	-$14
Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Politics	Yes	$100	73¢	74¢	+$1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics	Yes	$100	31¢	28¢	-$8
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Politics	Yes	$70	69¢	74¢	+$5
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League	Yes	$100	11¢	5.0¢	-$55
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$30	14¢	14¢	-$1
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League	Yes	$100	13¢	2.4¢	-$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$10	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$10	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicTennis	Novak DjokovicResolved	$31	79¢	0.0¢	-$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$21	21¢	0.0¢	-$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$15	16¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$57	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$57
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-30?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$20	52¢	0.0¢	-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander ZverevTennis	Rafael JodarResolved	$25	42¢	0.0¢	-$25

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$6.2K

World Cup-$229

Premier League-$136

Crypto+$16

Soccer (other)-$10

Tennis-$9

Biggest hit

+$1.1K

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Toughest beat

-$271

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?$33018h ago
Bought No · Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.0K19h ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.0K19h ago
Bought No · Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.9K23h ago
Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.0K23h ago
Bought No · Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2011d ago
Bought No · Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3031d ago
Bought Yes · Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$821d ago
Bought No · Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$2011d ago
Sold Yes · Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2581d ago
Sold Yes · Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?$1601d ago
Sold Yes · Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?$1921d ago