 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$180 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 78¢ | 73¢ | -$96 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$11 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$23 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $627 | 63¢ | 89¢ | +$258 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $719 | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$41 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $753 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $536 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$90 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $588 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $528 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $537 | 67¢ | 64¢ | -$27 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $480 | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $494 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$14 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $421 | 70¢ | 77¢ | +$38 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $439 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | No | $483 | 39¢ | 36¢ | -$39 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $417 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$26 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $337 | 67¢ | 77¢ | +$46 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $360 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $344 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$6 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $348 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $185 | 24¢ | 46¢ | +$159 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $348 | 41¢ | 39¢ | -$18 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $381 | 95¢ | 82¢ | -$53 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $280 | 56¢ | 65¢ | +$43 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $126 | 34¢ | 68¢ | +$129 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $301 | 60¢ | 47¢ | -$68 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $256 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$23 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $217 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $245 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$41 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $207 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$4 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $189 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $212 | 45¢ | 42¢ | -$12 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $199 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | No | $219 | 61¢ | 55¢ | -$23 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $170 | 43¢ | 49¢ | +$25 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | No | $191 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $180 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $189 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $150 | 65¢ | 80¢ | +$35 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $182 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $146 | 25¢ | 32¢ | +$37 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $168 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$6 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $155 | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$14 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $171 | 45¢ | 43¢ | -$8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $132 | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$31 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $246 | 41¢ | 27¢ | -$87 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $148 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$7 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $172 | 86¢ | 77¢ | -$19 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $130 | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$20 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Politics | No | $137 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $109 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$20 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $162 | 32¢ | 25¢ | -$40 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $120 | 60¢ | 60¢ | +$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $107 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $146 | 49¢ | 38¢ | -$33 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $94 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$18 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $126 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$22 |
| Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.5T in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $91 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$10 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $86 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $72 | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$11 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $96 | 64¢ | 52¢ | -$18 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $94 | 47¢ | 38¢ | -$19 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $73 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $54 | 63¢ | 79¢ | +$13 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?Tennis | Alcaraz | $46 | 37¢ | 47¢ | +$13 |
 Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $40 | 20¢ | 30¢ | +$19 |
 Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Crypto | $60 | $61 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$4 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | Yes | $49 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $54 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 58¢ | 51¢ | -$7 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $49 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$5 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | Yes | $52 | 53¢ | 48¢ | -$5 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 46¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $41 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$8 |
| Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.75T in 2026?Crypto | No | $25 | 41¢ | 66¢ | +$15 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $28 | 47¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $34 | 68¢ | 77¢ | +$4 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | Yes | $30 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$7 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 49¢ | 80¢ | +$13 |
 Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?Crypto | $3,000 | $32 | 47¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | No | $32 | 33¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $18 | 15¢ | 25¢ | +$13 |
| Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $20 | 26¢ | 38¢ | +$10 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 33¢ | 41¢ | +$6 |
| Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 10¢ | 22¢ | +$16 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $44 | 9.0¢ | 5.7¢ | -$16 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $26 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | Yes | $17 | 9.0¢ | 14¢ | +$10 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sports | Yes | $38 | 19¢ | 13¢ | -$13 |
 Diddy released from custody in 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 89¢ | 78¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $43 | 78¢ | 44¢ | -$19 |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 42¢ | 28¢ | -$11 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $126 | 22¢ | 3.8¢ | -$105 |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $60 | 24¢ | 8.5¢ | -$39 |
Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$34m ago