 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $661 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$132 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $486 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$33 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $280 | 56¢ | 96¢ | +$201 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $451 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$3 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $352 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$26 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $315 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $247 | 64¢ | 80¢ | +$60 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $252 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$43 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $176 | 58¢ | 97¢ | +$117 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $252 | 63¢ | 69¢ | +$24 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $246 | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$28 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | No | $267 | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $107 | 32¢ | 66¢ | +$116 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $178 | 71¢ | 85¢ | +$34 |
 Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $190 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$11 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $192 | 48¢ | 50¢ | +$6 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $140 | 64¢ | 91¢ | +$58 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $198 | 65¢ | 62¢ | -$11 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $150 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$29 |
 Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30?Politics | No | $160 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $114 | 52¢ | 72¢ | +$43 |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $131 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$13 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $144 | 72¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Politics | No | $132 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $108 | 55¢ | 62¢ | +$14 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $132 | 46¢ | 43¢ | -$10 |
 Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Politics | No | $105 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$12 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $82 | 69¢ | 94¢ | +$30 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $108 | 72¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $128 | 85¢ | 70¢ | -$23 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?Politics | No | $107 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$4 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $98 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics | Yes | $86 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$10 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$17 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $86 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$4 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $53 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$36 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $129 | 54¢ | 33¢ | -$51 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 42¢ | 36¢ | -$13 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 41¢ | 50¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $98 | 49¢ | 36¢ | -$27 |
 Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 55¢ | -$34 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Politics | No | $59 | 86¢ | 69¢ | -$12 |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$8 |
 Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Politics | No | $17 | 66¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Politics | No | $74 | 10¢ | 3.2¢ | -$51 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $134 | 67¢ | 11¢ | -$113 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $80 | 62¢ | 12¢ | -$65 |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Politics | Yes | $87 | 47¢ | 7.0¢ | -$74 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $98 | 65¢ | 8.5¢ | -$85 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
 Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $17 | 44¢ | 16¢ | -$11 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $73 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $181 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$181 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
| Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $117 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?Politics | NoResolved | $246 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$246 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $33 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $135 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $254 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$254 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $389 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$389 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $61 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1000 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1000 |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $109 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $205 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
 Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Politics | YesResolved | $134 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $137 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $87 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $114 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | NoResolved | $64 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
 Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $88 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $88 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
Sold No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$1186h ago
Sold Yes · Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?$3017h ago