 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 53¢ | 86¢ | +$909 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $1.5K | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$36 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | No | $728 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$9 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $584 | 42¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $285 | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$77 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 45¢ | 13¢ | -$881 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $311 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$14 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $115 | 51¢ | 62¢ | +$24 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $134 | 56¢ | 34¢ | -$52 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $61 | 60¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $93 | 31¢ | 20¢ | -$35 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $131 | 21¢ | 4.1¢ | -$105 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $43 | 11¢ | 2.5¢ | -$34 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $4 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?Tech | OpenAI | $4 | 65¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $70 | 29¢ | 1.1¢ | -$67 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $46 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $206 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$206 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $66 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $89 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
 Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $379 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$379 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $30 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | SomethingResolved | $780 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$780 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | NoResolved | $1.5K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | NoResolved | $1.5K | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $197 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$197 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $419 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$419 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | NoResolved | $247 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $59 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |