← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Mar 2026184 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $4.7K across 3 Economy markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Starmer out by December 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.5K80¢83¢+$117
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$2.3K53¢59¢+$247
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$1.9K59¢66¢+$222
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$1.9K42¢40¢-$111
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$1.3K37¢36¢-$50
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$91674¢80¢+$62
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsSomething$67021¢18¢-$102
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$46673¢84¢+$73
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$32522¢19¢-$54
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechNo$13456¢66¢+$25
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12161¢69¢+$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$14218¢17¢-$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8942¢46¢+$8
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$4311¢14¢+$9
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsYes$4141¢22¢-$20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$1574¢92¢+$4
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$6625¢6.0¢-$50
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$945¢77¢+$7
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$761¢60¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$1357¢31¢-$6
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYes$7029¢2.9¢-$63
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$480¢95¢+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$5915¢0.9¢-$55
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$363¢64¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$527¢16¢-$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$10.5¢0.9¢+$1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$250¢43¢-$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$00.8¢27¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$10.8¢0.7¢-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$2328¢0.0¢-$23
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?TechYesResolved$19773¢0.0¢-$197
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$41960¢0.0¢-$419

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$10K
Tech+$391
Economy+$380
World Cup+$96
Finance+$27
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$8717h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$5617h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$4117h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$2317h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$2617h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$5317h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$5917h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$1319h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$719h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$822h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$1522h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$81d ago