← Whale Watch

Mst-br

Predicting since May 2026147 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.2K on Politics markets since May 2026.

Right now: $6.9K riding on Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?.

Biggest hit: +$4.2K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.3K89¢91¢+$74
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1.9K59¢56¢-$91
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K95¢99¢+$47
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$88088¢99¢+$114
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$93593¢96¢+$26
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?PoliticsYes$90090¢95¢+$45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$73073¢80¢+$65
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$32064¢88¢+$118
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$42084¢86¢+$8
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$39389¢96¢+$30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$33567¢67¢-$3
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$30097¢96¢-$3
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$28896¢96¢-$2
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$28595¢95¢-$2
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$28294¢94¢-$2
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$19766¢94¢+$83
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$27993¢91¢-$6
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$26789¢90¢+$2
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$19095¢96¢+$2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$18592¢95¢+$6
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$18492¢89¢-$7
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$16884¢82¢-$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$5719¢48¢+$86
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$13089¢88¢-$2
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$12486¢87¢+$1
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$12663¢63¢-$1
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$12462¢61¢-$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$6834¢55¢+$41
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10421¢20¢-$2
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?NBANo$8989¢100¢+$11
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$7748¢49¢+$1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$7070¢69¢-$1
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$5595¢96¢+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3375¢79¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$35171¢0.7¢-$348
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50025¢0.0¢-$500
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$6.9K76¢0.0¢-$6.9K
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10049¢0.0¢-$100
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$18043¢0.0¢-$180
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAAlex PereiraResolved$25050¢0.0¢-$250
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$10268¢0.0¢-$102
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$36053¢0.0¢-$360
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAIlia TopuriaResolved$8080¢0.0¢-$80
Spread: Spain (-2.5)World CupSpainResolved$28058¢0.0¢-$280
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$50062¢0.0¢-$500
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$18057¢0.0¢-$180
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?World CupYesResolved$7272¢0.0¢-$72
Spread: England (-1.5)World CupEnglandResolved$18063¢0.0¢-$180
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$37262¢0.0¢-$372
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$36049¢0.0¢-$360
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$36060¢0.0¢-$360
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$18044¢0.0¢-$180
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$36062¢0.0¢-$360
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMAYesResolved$7070¢0.0¢-$70

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$6.2K
World Cup-$6.0K
UFC / MMA-$164
Tech+$70
NBA-$24
Soccer (other)-$11
Economy-$2
Biggest hit
+$4.2K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$465
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$543m ago
  • Bought No · Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?$747m ago
  • Bought No · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$2958m ago
  • Bought No · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$41h ago
  • Bought No · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$53h ago
  • Bought No · Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?$493h ago
  • Bought No · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$65h ago
  • Bought No · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$75h ago
  • Bought No · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$25h ago
  • Bought No · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$25h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$107h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$07h ago