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Predicting since Oct 2024371 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.2K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $2.9K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$1.9K	24¢	53¢	+$2.3K
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2.6K	72¢	78¢	+$198
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Politics	Yes	$586	25¢	50¢	+$595
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics	Yes	$341	48¢	89¢	+$288
Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Politics	No	$477	75¢	90¢	+$92
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$442	79¢	95¢	+$90
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$270	56¢	94¢	+$180
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics	Yes	$342	33¢	42¢	+$94
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics	No	$326	82¢	86¢	+$14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$255	85¢	84¢	-$5
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Politics	No	$64	86¢	94¢	+$6
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Politics	No	$65	93¢	95¢	+$1
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics	No	$44	95¢	99¢	+$2
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics	No	$50	73¢	67¢	-$4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$30	23¢	31¢	+$9
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$48	2.2¢	1.6¢	-$15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics	No	$25	70¢	96¢	+$9
Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$131	11¢	2.5¢	-$100
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$28	40¢	42¢	+$1
Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$24	24¢	27¢	+$3
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$39	55¢	35¢	-$15
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Culture	No	$15	77¢	93¢	+$3
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	Yes	$66	66¢	14¢	-$52
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$9	3.4¢	5.3¢	+$5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$12	25¢	16¢	-$4
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture	No	$4	81¢	92¢	+$1
Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?Politics	No	$2	68¢	99¢	+$1
ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy	Yes	$17	30¢	4.5¢	-$14
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	Yes	$7	3.8¢	0.9¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$9.2K

Culture+$1.2K

eSports+$230

Mentions-$181

Tech-$27

Economy-$14

Champions League+$12

Other sports+$9

World Cup+$7

Other+$3

Bundesliga-$1

Weather-$1

Biggest hit

+$2.6K

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Toughest beat

-$1.1K

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?$1013h ago
Sold No · Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2315h ago
Sold Yes · Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?$2423h ago
Sold Yes · Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?$1501d ago
Bought Yes · Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?$2021d ago
Sold Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?$521d ago
Sold No · Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$101d ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?$3971d ago
Sold No · Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?$261d ago
Sold No · Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?$131d ago
Bought Yes · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$952d ago
Bought No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?$5842d ago