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Predicting since Oct 2024357 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.5K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $1.1K riding on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$1.1K	16¢	17¢	+$72
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$728	91¢	97¢	+$45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	No	$424	78¢	88¢	+$49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$270	56¢	92¢	+$170
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$442	79¢	77¢	-$9
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics	No	$295	82¢	87¢	+$19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics	No	$173	83¢	95¢	+$26
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$165	24¢	27¢	+$20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics	No	$90	85¢	96¢	+$12
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Politics	No	$72	86¢	97¢	+$10
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics	No	$55	95¢	100¢	+$3
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics	No	$73	73¢	55¢	-$18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$61	25¢	20¢	-$12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$28	40¢	64¢	+$16
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$52	2.1¢	1.7¢	-$11
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$48	2.2¢	1.8¢	-$10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics	No	$25	70¢	95¢	+$9
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other	Yes	$20	11¢	17¢	+$11
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	Yes	$66	66¢	21¢	-$46
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Culture	No	$15	77¢	93¢	+$3
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Politics	Yes	$24	61¢	36¢	-$10
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	Yes	$7	3.8¢	5.3¢	+$3
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$9	3.4¢	2.8¢	-$2
ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy	Yes	$17	30¢	13¢	-$10
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture	No	$4	81¢	96¢	+$1
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$5	5.7¢	4.7¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$5.5K

Culture+$1.2K

eSports+$230

Mentions-$181

Tech-$27

Champions League+$12

Other+$11

Economy-$10

Other sports+$9

World Cup+$7

Bundesliga-$1

Weather-$1

Biggest hit

+$2.6K

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Toughest beat

-$1.1K

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2381d ago
Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$41d ago
Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$51d ago
Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$11d ago
Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$11d ago
Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$392d ago
Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$342d ago
Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$12d ago
Sold Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$823d ago
Cashed out No · Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$03d ago
Cashed out No · Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$03d ago
Cashed out No · Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$03d ago