← Whale Watch

CitizenScientist

Predicting since Nov 20241,705 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $16K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $1.9K across 4 Weather markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?WeatherNoResolved$1.9K82¢100¢+$394
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$95091¢100¢+$89
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?TechNoResolved$50078¢100¢+$141
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$43770¢93¢+$148
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$52391¢100¢+$50
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?EconomyYesResolved$15048¢100¢+$163
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$27690¢100¢+$32
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?WeatherYesResolved$13173¢100¢+$48
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?WeatherNoResolved$7447¢100¢+$83
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$10067¢100¢+$49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6767¢100¢+$33
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8383¢100¢+$17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10059¢43¢-$27
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8383¢73¢-$11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$202.6¢8.8¢+$48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10037¢20¢-$47
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4079¢100¢+$11
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4691¢100¢+$5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$3264¢100¢+$18
Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?PoliticsNoResolved$2449¢100¢+$25
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?CultureNoResolved$3272¢100¢+$12
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$2973¢100¢+$11
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$2063¢100¢+$12
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?FinanceNoResolved$2392¢100¢+$2
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$90.9¢2.1¢+$12
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1382¢100¢+$3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1284¢100¢+$2
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2018¢13¢-$6
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?FinanceNoResolved$779¢100¢+$2
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoYes$7979¢7.6¢-$71
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNoResolved$23129¢0.0¢-$231
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?WeatherYesResolved$583.3¢0.0¢-$58
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1539¢0.0¢-$15
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNoResolved$3253¢0.0¢-$32
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona WildcatsBasketball (other)Arizona WildcatsResolved$10081¢0.0¢-$100
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly MustangsBasketball (other)UC Santa Barbara GauchosResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?WeatherYesResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?WeatherYesResolved$1773¢0.0¢-$17
Weed rescheduled by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$209.0¢0.0¢-$20
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2142¢0.0¢-$21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$42588¢0.0¢-$425
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?TechNoResolved$16331¢0.0¢-$163
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Rider BroncsBasketball (other)Niagara Purple EaglesResolved$11560¢0.0¢-$115
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?CultureYesResolved$2814¢0.0¢-$28
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$21543¢0.0¢-$215
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$5858¢0.0¢-$58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$17186¢0.0¢-$171
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$2050¢0.0¢-$20
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?TechNoResolved$20065¢0.0¢-$200
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Hockey (other)YesResolved$10054¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?EconomyYesResolved$2038¢0.0¢-$20
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?WeatherYesResolved$1444¢0.0¢-$14
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyCryptoYesResolved$2879¢0.0¢-$28

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$16K
NBA-$9.9K
NFL+$1.6K
Culture+$774
Crypto-$402
Finance-$335
Tech-$233
Economy-$231
Basketball (other)-$220
Premier League+$160
MLB-$159
Other sports+$159
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Toughest beat
-$8.3K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?