← Whale Watch

alivedeer

Predicting since Feb 2026295 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$117.6¢5.3¢-$3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$130.4¢0.0¢-$13
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1413.5¢0.0¢-$141
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2630.3¢0.0¢-$263
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$1200.4¢0.0¢-$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$309.0¢0.0¢-$30
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?PoliticsYesResolved$2910¢0.0¢-$29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1300.1¢0.0¢-$130
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$350.5¢0.0¢-$35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 10?WeatherYesResolved$345¢0.0¢-$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$5226¢0.0¢-$52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$220.2¢0.0¢-$22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9614¢0.0¢-$96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.2K
Crypto-$597
Finance-$351
Weather+$58
Tech+$11
UFC / MMA+$5
Mentions-$4
Culture-$1
Economy-$1
Biggest hit
+$554
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$411
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11AM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$62mo ago
  • Sold No · Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$62mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$12mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1862mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$32mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$32mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$42mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$52mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$12mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$52mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$12mo ago