 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $11K | 56¢ | 89¢ | +$6.5K |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $7.7K | 57¢ | 92¢ | +$4.7K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $1.5K | 49¢ | 91¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.5K | 60¢ | 83¢ | +$574 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $1.2K | 42¢ | 68¢ | +$703 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$277 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $370 | 2.6¢ | 7.5¢ | +$680 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $381 | 19¢ | 52¢ | +$636 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $926 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$10 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $500 | 50¢ | 92¢ | +$419 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $306 | 8.7¢ | 24¢ | +$529 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $501 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$325 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $228 | 33¢ | 89¢ | +$383 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $66 | 4.4¢ | 39¢ | +$511 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $102 | 2.9¢ | 14¢ | +$383 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $425 | 42¢ | 46¢ | +$30 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Politics | No | $385 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$36 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $602 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$189 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $67 | 2.1¢ | 11¢ | +$274 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | No | $134 | 3.6¢ | 7.5¢ | +$145 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $369 | 6.5¢ | 4.7¢ | -$104 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $160 | 16¢ | 25¢ | +$85 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $111 | 8.8¢ | 17¢ | +$96 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $41 | 0.4¢ | 1.9¢ | +$154 |
 Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $190 | 19¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $90 | 2.0¢ | 4.2¢ | +$95 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $64 | 0.4¢ | 1.1¢ | +$108 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $146 | 4.4¢ | 5.1¢ | +$24 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $116 | 4.5¢ | 5.9¢ | +$36 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $130 | 3.5¢ | 3.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Politics | Yes | $8 | 3.0¢ | 47¢ | +$109 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics | Yes | $120 | 6.7¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 1.7¢ | 98¢ | +$113 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $78 | 7.5¢ | 11¢ | +$37 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $111 | 6.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$0 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 3.3¢ | 12¢ | +$74 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $509 | 31¢ | 6.2¢ | -$408 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $79 | 29¢ | 36¢ | +$19 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 4.0¢ | 3.9¢ | -$4 |
 Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Politics | Yes | $20 | 18¢ | 85¢ | +$74 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $50 | 10¢ | 18¢ | +$38 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $459 | 67¢ | 13¢ | -$373 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?Politics | Yes | $34 | 2.3¢ | 5.9¢ | +$51 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026?Politics | Yes | $74 | 2.1¢ | 2.4¢ | +$11 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $519 | 43¢ | 7.0¢ | -$435 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $101 | 5.4¢ | 4.5¢ | -$17 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $19 | 1.5¢ | 6.5¢ | +$62 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $52 | 5.6¢ | 8.5¢ | +$27 |
 Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?La Liga | Yes | $52 | 3.1¢ | 4.8¢ | +$28 |
 Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 62¢ | +$73 |
 What will be the next Fed rate change?Economy | Cut | $69 | 5.6¢ | 6.0¢ | +$5 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | Yes | $93 | 2.7¢ | 2.1¢ | -$20 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $13 | 5.0¢ | 28¢ | +$59 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $76 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$6 |
 Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Culture | No | $35 | 7.0¢ | 14¢ | +$35 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 3.0¢ | 6.9¢ | +$39 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.2¢ | 14¢ | +$58 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $69 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$11 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 2.3¢ | 5.2¢ | +$33 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $66 | 31¢ | 27¢ | -$10 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 5.0¢ | 21¢ | +$39 |
 Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | Yes | $49 | 4.6¢ | 4.8¢ | +$2 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $10 | 2.0¢ | 10¢ | +$40 |
 Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 26¢ | +$40 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 4.8¢ | 7.5¢ | +$18 |
 Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 2.3¢ | 6.7¢ | +$31 |
 Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 2.0¢ | 22¢ | +$43 |
 Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 1.9¢ | 5.4¢ | +$30 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $33 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$13 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $32 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | +$12 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $52 | 4.8¢ | 3.9¢ | -$10 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $25 | 3.6¢ | 5.9¢ | +$17 |
| Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Culture | No | $18 | 7.0¢ | 17¢ | +$24 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 3.4¢ | 8.1¢ | +$23 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics | Yes | $30 | 3.8¢ | 4.8¢ | +$8 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $81 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$43 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 50¢ | 95¢ | +$18 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | Yes | $15 | 0.5¢ | 1.2¢ | +$20 |
 Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?Politics | No | $50 | 10¢ | 7.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $27 | 4.4¢ | 5.6¢ | +$7 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $17 | 5.5¢ | 11¢ | +$16 |
 Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | No | $35 | 2.7¢ | 2.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $12 | 4.0¢ | 11¢ | +$20 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 3.3¢ | 3.8¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 21¢ | 35¢ | +$12 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $7 | 4.0¢ | 18¢ | +$24 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 0.9¢ | 3.3¢ | +$22 |
 Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.9¢ | 11¢ | +$23 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | Yes | $21 | 3.0¢ | 4.4¢ | +$10 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $129 | 3.6¢ | 0.9¢ | -$99 |
 Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 6.0¢ | 18¢ | +$20 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$8 |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 3.8¢ | 8.0¢ | +$15 |
 Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 3.2¢ | 5.5¢ | +$11 |
 Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $20 | 2.0¢ | 2.6¢ | +$7 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $55 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$29 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ | 11¢ | +$11 |
| Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 4.2¢ | 14¢ | +$19 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $15 | 4.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$11 |
Sold No · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$26813h ago
Bought Yes · Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$118h ago
Bought Yes · Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?$318h ago