← Whale Watch

Nadmi

Predicting since May 20255,213 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $11K on Crypto markets since May 2025.

Right now: $7.7K riding on Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$1.5K on Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$7.7K57¢89¢+$4.3K
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.8K39¢97¢+$4.2K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3.4K50¢98¢+$3.3K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1.5K60¢73¢+$326
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.1K19¢24¢+$237
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$94141¢57¢+$376
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K74¢76¢+$27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$3068.7¢28¢+$676
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$50050¢90¢+$403
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$1034.4¢33¢+$651
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$42542¢63¢+$200
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$4784.5¢4.7¢+$19
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$44589¢95¢+$31
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsNo$38579¢86¢+$38
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$22833¢56¢+$155
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$40812¢10¢-$73
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$45967¢48¢-$132
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$950.4¢1.4¢+$215
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1118.8¢21¢+$146
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$50931¢15¢-$258
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$25010.0¢9.5¢-$12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$16016¢23¢+$70
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechYes$944.0¢9.5¢+$132
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceYes$34111¢6.5¢-$148
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$1004.0¢7.5¢+$88
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$1405.6¢7.4¢+$44
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechNo$402.1¢9.5¢+$140
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsYes$742.1¢5.1¢+$104
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$51943¢14¢-$344
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1293.6¢3.9¢+$7
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechYes$273.3¢16¢+$106
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3.4K50¢1.8¢-$3.3K
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?La LigaYes$523.1¢7.6¢+$75
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$1116.0¢6.5¢+$9
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$525.6¢12¢+$60
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?PoliticsYes$1058.0¢8.5¢+$7
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$459.0¢22¢+$65
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?PoliticsYes$454.5¢11¢+$60
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1015.4¢5.5¢+$2
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$314.8¢16¢+$71
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$21.7¢85¢+$98
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$2723.9¢1.3¢-$180
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$400.8¢1.8¢+$50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$191.5¢7.0¢+$68
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$2544.9¢1.7¢-$169
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?PoliticsYes$223.3¢13¢+$61
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$5010¢17¢+$33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1992.2¢0.9¢-$122
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsYes$814.7¢4.3¢-$7
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$290.7¢1.8¢+$44
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$303.0¢7.2¢+$42
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$1211.1¢0.7¢-$51
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?TechNo$893.3¢2.6¢-$19
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? PoliticsYes$213.0¢9.7¢+$46
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$7929¢24¢-$14
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3151.7¢0.4¢-$251
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechNo$191.3¢4.3¢+$46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1014.0¢2.5¢-$37
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$595.2¢5.5¢+$3
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?PoliticsYes$1231.7¢0.9¢-$61
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?PoliticsYes$304.0¢8.0¢+$30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2632.5¢0.5¢-$204
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$444.4¢5.7¢+$13
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsYes$223.4¢8.5¢+$34
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2916.6¢1.3¢-$235
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$1353.5¢1.5¢-$80
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$283.3¢6.5¢+$27
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$135.0¢22¢+$43
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?PoliticsYes$173.4¢11¢+$38
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$2063.5¢0.9¢-$151
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?OtherYes$175.5¢18¢+$37
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?CultureNo$357.0¢11¢+$18
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?CultureNo$187.0¢21¢+$34
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?PoliticsYes$5020¢21¢+$1
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$464.9¢5.3¢+$3
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$668.8¢6.5¢-$18
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoYes$894.4¢2.4¢-$42
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?TechNo$584.4¢3.5¢-$12
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?PoliticsYes$2313¢26¢+$22
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1433.6¢1.1¢-$100
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$171.9¢4.8¢+$24
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$507.3¢6.0¢-$9
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$102.0¢8.0¢+$30
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherYes$42.0¢19¢+$35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$571.2¢0.8¢-$18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$1251.1¢0.4¢-$86
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?CultureYes$102.0¢7.6¢+$28
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$2050¢93¢+$17
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?FinanceUp$196.0¢12¢+$17
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$1012.0¢0.7¢-$69
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechYes$363.8¢3.3¢-$6
Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?PoliticsYes$111.3¢3.5¢+$19
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$50.5¢3.4¢+$26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechYes$135.0¢12¢+$18
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?PoliticsNo$342.6¢2.2¢-$5
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?PoliticsYes$123.0¢7.0¢+$16
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechYes$303.6¢3.4¢-$2
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$293.8¢3.7¢-$1
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$420.5¢0.4¢-$15
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?EconomyYes$72.0¢7.6¢+$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$11K
Culture+$1.3K
Economy+$937
eSports+$426
Tech+$344
Mentions+$279
Tennis-$213
Finance-$163
Other sports-$150
Politics+$140
Formula 1-$123
La Liga+$75
Biggest hit
+$1.5K
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Toughest beat
-$6.5K
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?$215m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?$115m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$045m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2045m ago
  • Bought Up · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?$11h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$12h ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?$02h ago
  • Bought Up · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?$182h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$102h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$06h ago