← Whale Watch

illumination

Predicting since May 202476 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.2K on Politics markets since May 2024.

Right now: $970 across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.3K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$30015¢20¢+$90
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$4004.5¢4.3¢-$18
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$2305.7¢6.5¢+$30
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoYes$1728.5¢12¢+$61
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$1057.0¢9.5¢+$37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$1506.0¢5.6¢-$10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoYes$1454.5¢3.9¢-$20
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$714.4¢6.3¢+$31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2703.4¢1.3¢-$170
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$357.0¢13¢+$30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsYes$302.0¢2.8¢+$11
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$138.0¢14¢+$11
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPoliticsYes$200.5¢0.5¢+$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$401.0¢0.0¢-$40
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1057.0¢0.0¢-$105
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$5705.7¢0.0¢-$570
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$90.1¢0.0¢-$9
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$420.6¢0.0¢-$42
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$363.0¢0.0¢-$36
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" during the State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$551.7¢0.0¢-$55
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$858.5¢0.0¢-$85
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$201.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7914¢0.0¢-$79
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?CryptoYesResolved$2701.6¢0.0¢-$270
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$12015¢0.0¢-$120
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$221.0¢0.0¢-$22
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3603.6¢0.0¢-$360
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$501.0¢0.0¢-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$301.0¢0.0¢-$30
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2426.4¢0.0¢-$242
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$70.1¢0.0¢-$7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$301.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11719¢0.0¢-$117
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$30617¢0.0¢-$306
Netanyahu out by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1044.0¢0.0¢-$104
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$181.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$400.4¢0.0¢-$40
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$502.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$2568.0¢0.0¢-$256
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$505.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$1252.5¢0.0¢-$125
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$1006.4¢0.0¢-$100
Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?TechYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$160.5¢0.0¢-$16
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$110.1¢0.0¢-$11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$90.6¢0.0¢-$9
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$110.6¢0.0¢-$11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$400.4¢0.0¢-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$9.2K
Crypto-$1.3K
Premier League+$578
Tech+$291
Culture-$144
Mentions-$55
UFC / MMA+$30
Biggest hit
+$4.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$734
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$136d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$307d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$118d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$578d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: Other$011d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: Other$011d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: Other$011d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: Other$011d ago