US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 69¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $8 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 16?Crypto | No | $8 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 16?Crypto | No | $2 | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $5 | 53¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Politics | Yes | $8 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?NFL | No | $9 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $9 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions | No | $5 | 48¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?Crypto | No | $9 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 42¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Finance | Yes | $9 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 40¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | No | $3 | 34¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 31¢ | 79¢ | +$5 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 44¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Crypto | No | $1 | 11¢ | 76¢ | +$6 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $7 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Politics | No | $7 | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?Crypto | No | $6 | 56¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 62¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $7 | 72¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 70¢ | +$2 |
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 55¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 42¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 63¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $7 | 72¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | Yes | $6 | 55¢ | 60¢ | +$0 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | Yes | $6 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Finance | No | $6 | 72¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $6 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 56¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 71¢ | 55¢ | -$2 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 46¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?Crypto | No | $1 | 9.0¢ | 53¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | No | $6 | 64¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 63¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $4 | 39¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Crypto | No | $5 | 52¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Politics | No | $1 | 11¢ | 47¢ | +$4 |
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Politics | No | $4 | 43¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 40¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 46¢ | +$0 |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | No | $4 | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 30¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $3 | 32¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
Angel City FC vs. Seattle Reign FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other) | Over | $1 | 14¢ | 37¢ | +$2 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $4 | 36¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 32¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 41¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | No | $2 | 20¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $3 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Politics | No | $4 | 39¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $3 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
Will Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko win the Falealili 1 by-election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | No | $2 | 17¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 29¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $3 | 25¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1 | 11¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?Finance | No | $2 | 28¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 44¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 56¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $1 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?Crypto | No | $3 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 42¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |