ItamarBleinad

Predicting since Nov 2024639 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $14K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $1.3K riding on Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics	No	$100	92¢	94¢	+$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$100	48¢	45¢	-$8
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics	No	$50	57¢	86¢	+$25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$50	83¢	96¢	+$8
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$50	66¢	46¢	-$15
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$50	53¢	0.0¢	-$50
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Economy	YesResolved	$50	70¢	0.0¢	-$50
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$50	63¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$15	70¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Politics	NoResolved	$50	84¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$50	90¢	0.0¢	-$50
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$25	77¢	0.0¢	-$25
Colts vs. ChiefsNFL	ColtsResolved	$7	63¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will The Pitt win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Culture	NoResolved	$50	79¢	0.0¢	-$50
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersMLB	Los Angeles DodgersResolved	$3	64¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Politics	YesResolved	$50	90¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Politics	NoResolved	$50	68¢	0.0¢	-$50
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$50	65¢	0.0¢	-$50
Ethereum all time high by August 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$70	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$70
Dodgers vs. Blue JaysMLB	DodgersResolved	$20	77¢	0.0¢	-$20
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$50	66¢	0.0¢	-$50
Ethereum all time high by August 31?Crypto	NoResolved	$15	32¢	0.0¢	-$15
Navy vs. TempleOther sports	TempleResolved	$20	66¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$998	40¢	0.0¢	-$998
Will Kathy Bates win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series?Culture	YesResolved	$50	92¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-12?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$20	69¢	0.0¢	-$20
Duke vs. UConnOther sports	DukeResolved	$6	73¢	0.0¢	-$6
Wizards vs. MavericksNBA	MavericksResolved	$40	66¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?Politics	YesResolved	$50	89¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics	YesResolved	$480	55¢	0.0¢	-$480
Ethereum all time high before October?Crypto	NoResolved	$100	82¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Politics	YesResolved	$1.3K	58¢	0.0¢	-$1.3K
Will no leader be out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$50	29¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-10-12?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$20	46¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Culture	YesResolved	$50	72¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Politics	NoResolved	$6	83¢	0.0¢	-$6
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Weather	NoResolved	$50	64¢	0.0¢	-$50
OpenAI browser by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$50	35¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$13	32¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	75¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$14K

Other-$282

Economy+$247

Culture+$146

NBA-$116

Tech+$69

NHL-$54

Soccer (other)-$37

Weather-$36

La Liga+$25

Other sports+$20

Tennis+$18

Biggest hit

+$2.2K

Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?

Toughest beat

-$3.0K

Trump wins every swing state?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14810d ago
Cashed out No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$522mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$562mo ago
Cashed out No · Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$562mo ago
Cashed out No · Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$582mo ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$772mo ago
Bought No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$505mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$535mo ago
Bought No · Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$505mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$555mo ago
Bought Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$35mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$505mo ago