← Whale Watch

ItamarBleinad

Predicting since Nov 2024639 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $14K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $1.3K riding on Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$10067¢100¢+$48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$10048¢63¢+$29
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?PoliticsNo$10092¢90¢-$2
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?PoliticsNo$5057¢80¢+$20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5066¢76¢+$8
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$5083¢95¢+$7
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$5053¢0.0¢-$50
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?EconomyYesResolved$5070¢0.0¢-$50
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$5063¢0.0¢-$50
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1570¢0.0¢-$15
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$5084¢0.0¢-$50
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$5090¢0.0¢-$50
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$2577¢0.0¢-$25
Colts vs. ChiefsNFLColtsResolved$763¢0.0¢-$7
Will The Pitt win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?CultureNoResolved$5079¢0.0¢-$50
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersMLBLos Angeles DodgersResolved$364¢0.0¢-$3
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?PoliticsYesResolved$5090¢0.0¢-$50
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?PoliticsNoResolved$5068¢0.0¢-$50
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5065¢0.0¢-$50
Ethereum all time high by August 22?CryptoNoResolved$700.3¢0.0¢-$70
Dodgers vs. Blue JaysMLBDodgersResolved$2077¢0.0¢-$20
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5066¢0.0¢-$50
Ethereum all time high by August 31?CryptoNoResolved$1532¢0.0¢-$15
Navy vs. TempleOther sportsTempleResolved$2066¢0.0¢-$20
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$99840¢0.0¢-$998
Will Kathy Bates win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series?CultureYesResolved$5092¢0.0¢-$50
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2069¢0.0¢-$20
Duke vs. UConnOther sportsDukeResolved$673¢0.0¢-$6
Wizards vs. MavericksNBAMavericksResolved$4066¢0.0¢-$40
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?PoliticsYesResolved$5089¢0.0¢-$50
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?PoliticsYesResolved$48055¢0.0¢-$480
Ethereum all time high before October?CryptoNoResolved$10082¢0.0¢-$100
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K58¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will no leader be out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5029¢0.0¢-$50
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-10-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2046¢0.0¢-$20
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?CultureYesResolved$5072¢0.0¢-$50
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$683¢0.0¢-$6
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?WeatherNoResolved$5064¢0.0¢-$50
OpenAI browser by October 31?TechNoResolved$5035¢0.0¢-$50
Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1332¢0.0¢-$13
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$275¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$14K
Other-$282
Economy+$136
NBA-$130
Crypto-$78
NHL-$58
Culture+$55
Weather-$50
Soccer (other)-$44
La Liga+$25
Other sports+$20
Premier League+$17
Biggest hit
+$2.2K
Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?
Toughest beat
-$3.0K
Trump wins every swing state?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$5211d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5611d ago
  • Cashed out No · Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$5611d ago
  • Cashed out No · Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$5811d ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7711d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$503mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$533mo ago
  • Bought No · Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$503mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$553mo ago
  • Bought Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$34mo ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$504mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$534mo ago