 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $827 | 50¢ | 43¢ | -$114 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $230 | 41¢ | 69¢ | +$152 |
 Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?Politics | No | $211 | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$105 |
| Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $342 | 61¢ | 54¢ | -$40 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $216 | 54¢ | 74¢ | +$78 |
 Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $247 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$40 |
 Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | Yes | $130 | 30¢ | 49¢ | +$83 |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $182 | 58¢ | 63¢ | +$17 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $170 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$4 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $158 | 47¢ | 51¢ | +$12 |
 Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | Yes | $79 | 24¢ | 46¢ | +$70 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $186 | 70¢ | 56¢ | -$37 |
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $75 | 36¢ | 60¢ | +$50 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $107 | 58¢ | 63¢ | +$9 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $130 | 65¢ | 57¢ | -$16 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $90 | 37¢ | 44¢ | +$17 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $96 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
 Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris?Formula 1 | Norris | $59 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$41 |
 Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Politics | Yes | $53 | 45¢ | 81¢ | +$44 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $89 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$6 |
 Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?Politics | Yes | $73 | 13¢ | 17¢ | +$21 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $105 | 35¢ | 30¢ | -$16 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Tech | Yes | $28 | 26¢ | 83¢ | +$60 |
| Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $90 | 64¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $63 | 52¢ | 73¢ | +$25 |
 Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $77 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$9 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $92 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$6 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $75 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $75 | 62¢ | 68¢ | +$6 |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $67 | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$11 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $81 | 54¢ | 49¢ | -$8 |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | Yes | $73 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $58 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$14 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $99 | 48¢ | 35¢ | -$27 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | Yes | $65 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $70 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $54 | 54¢ | 67¢ | +$13 |
 Will AVAX reach $8 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $71 | 57¢ | 53¢ | -$6 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $48 | 13¢ | 17¢ | +$11 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Tech | No | $66 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$8 |
| Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 67¢ | 77¢ | +$7 |
| Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $46 | 46¢ | 54¢ | +$8 |
| Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $56 | 28¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $51 | 54¢ | 52¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $42 | 42¢ | 45¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $44 | 31¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $55 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$14 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $30 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$6 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | Yes | $28 | 59¢ | 73¢ | +$7 |
 Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?Politics | Yes | $34 | 33¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in July?Finance | No | $24 | 61¢ | 84¢ | +$9 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $40 | 10¢ | 8.1¢ | -$8 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech | Yes | $68 | 68¢ | 32¢ | -$36 |
| Will AVAX dip to $3 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 10¢ | 43¢ | +$24 |
| Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $26 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
| Will Dan Franzese be the FL-25 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $40 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$12 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 28¢ | +$15 |
| Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 67¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 61¢ | 70¢ | +$3 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 16¢ | 27¢ | +$9 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $30 | 26¢ | 19¢ | -$9 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | Yes | $23 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$4 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $23 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $13 | 65¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $9 | 3.0¢ | 3.9¢ | +$3 |
 Will Leon Goretzka join Chicago Fire?Soccer (other) | Yes | $16 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $105 | 26¢ | 2.6¢ | -$95 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 30¢ | 79¢ | +$6 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 4.8¢ | -$0 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $7 | 2.4¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 47¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $12 | 4.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$7 |
 Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.0¢ | 3.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rhett Marques be the Republican nominee for AL-01?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.6¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $3 | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 25¢ | 2.1¢ | -$46 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech | Yes | $4 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
| Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $66 | 21¢ | 1.2¢ | -$63 |
| Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $33 | 33¢ | 3.5¢ | -$29 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 39¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 48¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
| Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?Tech | Yes | $65 | 35¢ | 1.3¢ | -$63 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$7 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
 Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1eSports | SinnersResolved | $11 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreChampions League | NoResolved | $20 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BeSports | SinnersResolved | $6 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |