Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $178 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$11 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $66 | 63¢ | 55¢ | -$9 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $24 | 62¢ | 88¢ | +$10 |
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA | No | $12 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 32¢ | 63¢ | +$12 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $14 | 64¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 37¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $12 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $15 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$4 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $5 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon register any party before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 98¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 3.0¢ | 1.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.1¢ | 1.8¢ | -$2 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 71¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 3.7¢ | 2.4¢ | -$1 |
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 10¢ | -$2 |
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 5.9¢ | -$3 |
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.8¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 34¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesMLB | San Diego PadresResolved | $7 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMLB | Arizona DiamondbacksResolved | $7 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech | NoResolved | $46 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsMLB | Los Angeles AngelsResolved | $7 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?World Cup | YesResolved | $73 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |