Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $95 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $32 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 53¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Politics | No | $18 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 74¢ | 67¢ | -$2 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 68¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Blue wave in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | No | $11 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Human moon landing in 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | Yes | $4 | 2.7¢ | 7.2¢ | +$6 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $6 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?Finance | Yes | $7 | 2.5¢ | 1.9¢ | -$2 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will 8–9 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Graham Platner charged by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 8.0¢ | 3.8¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 20¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 52¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.6¢ | 3.6¢ | -$1 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 91¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 51¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Politics | No | $2 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 77¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Weather | No | $2 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $2 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 30¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $1 | 46¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 44¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |