Garfield47

Predicting since Dec 2024113 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$11	99¢	100¢	+$0
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?Tech	NoResolved	$9	100¢	100¢	+$0
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$6	90¢	100¢	+$1
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	100¢	+$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy	YesResolved	$1	68¢	100¢	+$0
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	70¢	100¢	+$0
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Other sports	YesResolved	$1	78¢	100¢	+$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics	No	$1	69¢	88¢	+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$1	9.8¢	12¢	+$0
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech	Yes	$1	87¢	97¢	+$0
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	94¢	100¢	+$0
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	94¢	100¢	+$0
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	94¢	100¢	+$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	96¢	100¢	+$0
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	97¢	100¢	+$0
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)Mentions	NoResolved	$1	45¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Politics	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	72¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?Politics	NoResolved	$1	65¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 13?Tech	NoResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 12?Tech	NoResolved	$1	8.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% in April?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$2	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$7

Tech-$5

Boxing-$2

Politics-$2

Economy-$2

Mentions-$1

eSports-$1

Crypto-$1

Finance-$0

Other sports+$0

Weather-$0

Premier League+$0

Biggest hit

+$2

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Toughest beat

-$1

Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$13mo ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$13mo ago
Bought No · ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?$93mo ago
Bought No · Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$13mo ago
Bought No · Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?$113mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?$13mo ago
Bought No · Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$13mo ago
Bought No · Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?$13mo ago