Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $12K | 50¢ | 91¢ | +$10K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $9.0K | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$2.4K |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9.8K | 47¢ | 53¢ | +$1.2K |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $6.7K | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$162 |
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $3.7K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $2.8K | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$369 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.7K | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$359 |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Economy | No | $3.4K | 58¢ | 53¢ | -$309 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $1.7K | 57¢ | 85¢ | +$831 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.3K | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$73 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $12K | 50¢ | 8.8¢ | -$10K |
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $691 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$97 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $720 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$30 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?Economy | No | $703 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$3 |
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $437 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$20 |
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $358 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$32 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $385 | 11¢ | 10¢ | -$20 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $351 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$27 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?Economy | No | $328 | 54¢ | 53¢ | -$11 |
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?Mentions | No | $87 | 23¢ | 72¢ | +$180 |
Will Drew Campbell be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?Culture | No | $245 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?Economy | No | $274 | 62¢ | 49¢ | -$60 |
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $195 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?Mentions | No | $97 | 44¢ | 85¢ | +$90 |
Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?Mentions | No | $25 | 11¢ | 81¢ | +$156 |
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $149 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $155 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$13 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $131 | 3.0¢ | 3.1¢ | +$5 |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Economy | No | $136 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $108 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$22 |
Will North Carolina have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $101 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$13 |
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?Politics | Yes | $83 | 61¢ | 71¢ | +$14 |
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $86 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $110 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $374 | 33¢ | 7.0¢ | -$296 |
Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $65 | 83¢ | 74¢ | -$7 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?Politics | No | $18 | 18¢ | 51¢ | +$33 |
Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention?Mentions | No | $23 | 26¢ | 55¢ | +$27 |
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $42 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Culture | Yes | $40 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $71 | 1.3¢ | 0.8¢ | -$30 |
Will Drew Campbell come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $37 | 8.0¢ | 8.4¢ | +$2 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?Economy | Yes | $38 | 7.9¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $18 | 8.6¢ | 13¢ | +$9 |
Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?MLB | No | $26 | 65¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $24 | 71¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 60¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $19 | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?Politics | No | $23 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$2 |
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Culture | No | $28 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$8 |
GTA VI released by November 30?Culture | No | $15 | 7.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$5 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September?Politics | No | $20 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.3¢ | 20¢ | +$11 |
Will Yash Patel come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $21 | 9.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$6 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | No | $15 | 91¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | No | $11 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?Economy | Yes | $12 | 1.7¢ | 1.8¢ | +$0 |
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 32¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $10 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | Yes | $11 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?Economy | Yes | $21 | 7.6¢ | 3.1¢ | -$13 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $11 | 2.9¢ | 2.1¢ | -$3 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.9¢ | 1.4¢ | +$2 |
Will “Dancing with the Stars” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Culture | No | $6 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $6 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
Will Dee Valladares come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $16 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$11 |
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during RNC Convention?Mentions | No | $2 | 29¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?Economy | Yes | $2 | 1.2¢ | 3.4¢ | +$3 |
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 41¢ | +$2 |
Will annual inflation be 3.0% in August?Economy | Yes | $4 | 1.6¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
Will annual inflation be 3.1% in August?Economy | Yes | $8 | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$6 |
Will Melody Morris come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $2 | 7.9¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 1.8¢ | +$1 |
Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $66 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | YesResolved | $35 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | NoResolved | $37 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |