← Whale Watch

macrosteaks

Predicting since Nov 202410,650 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $21K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $55K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$27K50¢57¢+$3.9K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$27K50¢43¢-$3.9K
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$5.2K66¢100¢+$2.7K
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$7.8K52¢52¢+$35
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$7.2K96¢100¢+$313
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$5.6K56¢59¢+$288
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$5.3K95¢100¢+$301
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$3.1K62¢78¢+$769
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$1.8K53¢73¢+$677
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1.4K20¢36¢+$1.1K
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?CultureYes$1.9K89¢98¢+$190
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$2.6K34¢27¢-$533
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsYes$95825¢30¢+$191
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsNo$3.0K61¢20¢-$2.0K
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsYes$74977¢81¢+$31
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$78866¢65¢-$19
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureNo$70096¢99¢+$23
Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$53683¢100¢+$105
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$59857¢60¢+$22
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$61881¢81¢-$3
Will NRPUP win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsNo$46592¢99¢+$31
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsYes$37768¢86¢+$101
Global Super League: San Francisco Unicorns vs Perth Scorchers XICricketSan Francisco Unicorns$16635¢100¢+$308
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$40480¢91¢+$52
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$42382¢81¢-$5
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$39479¢83¢+$17
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsNo$42064¢62¢-$16
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$38856¢56¢+$3
Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$33594¢98¢+$11
Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$34192¢94¢+$5
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?PoliticsNo$31494¢99¢+$15
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$31369¢69¢-$2
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$29356¢59¢+$15
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$29078¢83¢+$17
Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?PoliticsNo$28798¢100¢+$7
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?PoliticsYes$28050¢53¢+$12
Will “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?CultureNo$27893¢96¢+$10
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$30826¢23¢-$40
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$19272¢99¢+$72
Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$26880¢79¢-$6
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?PoliticsYes$22485¢96¢+$29
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueNo$21521¢24¢+$34
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?PoliticsNo$21869¢78¢+$28
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$25261¢59¢-$11
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?PoliticsNo$21187¢98¢+$26
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$17323¢31¢+$57
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$16754¢74¢+$61
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$18671¢87¢+$41
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$13725¢41¢+$89
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureNo$21897¢98¢+$2
Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?PoliticsNo$21697¢97¢+$1
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$19270¢79¢+$25
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureYes$13656¢90¢+$79
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$1.2K54¢9.4¢-$970
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$23022¢20¢-$26
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$17866¢73¢+$16
Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$17879¢84¢+$11
Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?PoliticsNo$17794¢100¢+$12
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$17894¢99¢+$9
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?CultureYes$48736¢14¢-$304
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$29412¢7.1¢-$117
Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$17297¢100¢+$4
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$16671¢72¢+$0
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$14675¢86¢+$20
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$16761¢61¢-$3
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$14823¢26¢+$16
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$15773¢77¢+$7
Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$15181¢87¢+$10
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?Premier LeagueNo$17082¢78¢-$9
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$14411¢12¢+$14
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$14996¢99¢+$4
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Sussex vs YorkshireCricketYorkshire$12462¢75¢+$26
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureNo$14697¢98¢+$2
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureNo$14697¢97¢+$0
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$34618¢7.4¢-$205
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsNo$12788¢97¢+$14
Will 3DMAX Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsNo$14698¢94¢-$6
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$10863¢81¢+$31
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYes$12788¢96¢+$12
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$11756¢65¢+$18
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?PoliticsYes$12847¢49¢+$3
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$11690¢97¢+$10
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$10987¢100¢+$16
Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$11672¢75¢+$4
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$11441¢43¢+$5
Will "Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 1?CultureYes$11597¢99¢+$3
Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureNo$11583¢84¢+$3
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$18627¢17¢-$69
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$1259.0¢8.3¢-$9
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueYes$1115.2¢4.9¢-$6
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$5917¢31¢+$45
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$9066¢76¢+$13
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$8840¢47¢+$15
Will Chaz Molder be the TN-05 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$9891¢94¢+$3
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSportsNo$10178¢78¢-$1
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?CultureNo$9797¢100¢+$3
Will Mike Johnson be the FL-07 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$10196¢95¢-$2
Will Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$8477¢89¢+$13
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?PoliticsYes$9483¢85¢+$2
Will Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$9090¢95¢+$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$21K
Economy-$8.8K
MLB+$4.9K
Crypto-$4.7K
Weather-$2.4K
Formula 1-$2.1K
Tech-$1.5K
College Football+$1.3K
Culture-$1.1K
Mentions-$1.0K
NBA+$910
Soccer (other)+$847
Biggest hit
+$14K
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Toughest beat
-$18K
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$56m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?$6319m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1321m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$2521m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$3421m ago
  • Bought No · Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?$6022m ago
  • Bought No · Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?$423m ago
  • Bought No · Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?$4130m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$1831m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?$446m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$948m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?$249m ago