← Whale Watch

flameron

Predicting since Oct 20251,249 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.2K on Crypto markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $10K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$5.0K50¢80¢+$3.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$5.2K93¢80¢-$705
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.1K92¢91¢-$70
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5.0K50¢20¢-$3.0K
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoNo$1.9K98¢99¢+$19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K99¢99¢+$13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K92¢93¢+$6
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$1.5K84¢76¢-$152
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K97¢97¢-$4
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K90¢91¢+$8
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K98¢99¢+$11
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K96¢95¢-$6
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$99499¢100¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$91376¢81¢+$58
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$71588¢89¢+$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$56292¢81¢-$71
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$31489¢73¢-$54
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoYes$20969¢77¢+$23
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other)No$15982¢88¢+$12
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$5855¢45¢-$11
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$382¢95¢+$0
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$170¢88¢+$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8K93¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$5.2K
Politics-$3.5K
Finance+$1.1K
NHL+$728
Champions League-$669
Premier League-$412
Tennis-$303
NFL+$293
Tech-$278
Other sports-$259
Culture+$227
Weather+$208
Biggest hit
+$646
Blues vs. Sabres
Toughest beat
-$2.5K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$4113m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$811h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3952h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$202h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$12h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$262h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$212h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$192h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2112h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$772h ago
  • Sold No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.1K4h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3536h ago