bismuth

Predicting since Jul 2025293 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.2K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $3.0K riding on Which party will win the House in 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$3.0K	82¢	88¢	+$183
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$1.0K	86¢	94¢	+$96
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics	No	$796	80¢	95¢	+$158
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$790	79¢	86¢	+$65
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$684	98¢	98¢	+$5
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics	No	$620	89¢	97¢	+$55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics	No	$442	79¢	93¢	+$76
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?Crypto	No	$356	89¢	94¢	+$20
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics	Yes	$209	70¢	95¢	+$75
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$196	98¢	99¢	+$3
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$195	82¢	84¢	+$4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$189	94¢	98¢	+$7
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$170	85¢	92¢	+$13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	Yes	$193	39¢	35¢	-$17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$191	91¢	79¢	-$25
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics	Yes	$341	69¢	23¢	-$230
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics	No	$89	89¢	88¢	-$2
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$23	2.3¢	3.5¢	+$12

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$4.2K

Crypto-$2.2K

Tech+$134

Culture+$95

Other sports+$95

Mentions+$72

Finance+$14

Biggest hit

+$969

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Toughest beat

-$1.9K

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on August 11 at 5PM ET?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?$2001d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$1641d ago
Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1924d ago
Bought No · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$895d ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?$1985d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$227d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$97d ago
Bought No · Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1968d ago
Bought No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4918d ago
Cashed out No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$5438d ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$5008d ago