 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $14K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$177 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.7K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.4K | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$317 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $193 | 11¢ | 82¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $152 | 14¢ | 85¢ | +$747 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $623 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$86 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $549 | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$145 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $394 | 7.8¢ | 12¢ | +$235 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $923 | 65¢ | 34¢ | -$447 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $378 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$47 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $400 | 2.3¢ | 2.3¢ | -$9 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $270 | 54¢ | 63¢ | +$40 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $268 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$23 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $126 | 53¢ | 98¢ | +$108 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $214 | 4.8¢ | 5.1¢ | +$13 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $133 | 40¢ | 63¢ | +$75 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $315 | 15¢ | 8.5¢ | -$137 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $631 | 34¢ | 8.5¢ | -$473 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $146 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $315 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$157 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $88 | 48¢ | 81¢ | +$61 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $80 | 8.7¢ | 14¢ | +$53 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $100 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 62¢ | 57¢ | -$8 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $103 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$29 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $69 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$3 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $141 | 7.6¢ | 3.9¢ | -$69 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $43 | 5.6¢ | 8.5¢ | +$22 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 18¢ | 42¢ | +$36 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $53 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 18¢ | 97¢ | +$48 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $40 | 4.2¢ | 5.1¢ | +$9 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $51 | 45¢ | 40¢ | -$6 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $73 | 1.8¢ | 1.1¢ | -$30 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | No | $38 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $22 | 13¢ | 24¢ | +$17 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $51 | 45¢ | 34¢ | -$12 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $28 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 2.9¢ | 2.6¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Tom Lee charged by December 31?Crypto | No | $35 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $18 | 51¢ | 80¢ | +$10 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 77¢ | 68¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Politics | No | $23 | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$3 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $22 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $28 | 2.7¢ | 2.4¢ | -$4 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 46¢ | 56¢ | +$5 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $29 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$5 |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Politics | No | $24 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 27¢ | 70¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $17 | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $19 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $22 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.8¢ | 8.5¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $15 | 1.1¢ | 1.6¢ | +$6 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $16 | 59¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $22 | 93¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $18 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $19 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $23 | 32¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 68¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $19 | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 63¢ | 57¢ | -$2 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $21 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 33¢ | 80¢ | +$11 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | Yes | $17 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 80¢ | 69¢ | -$3 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 42¢ | 9.0¢ | -$62 |
| Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 81¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 21¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $32 | 9.4¢ | 4.3¢ | -$17 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 27¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $80 | 40¢ | 7.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 95¢ | 58¢ | -$9 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 37¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 32¢ | 11¢ | -$24 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $11 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Bought Yes · Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$53d ago
Bought Yes · Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$03d ago