qbug

Predicting since Feb 202648 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics	No	$127	91¢	96¢	+$7
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics	No	$82	82¢	94¢	+$12
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics	No	$56	93¢	96¢	+$2
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech	Yes	$40	79¢	99¢	+$10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$41	82¢	96¢	+$7
ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	No	$45	90¢	92¢	+$1
DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	No	$47	94¢	83¢	-$6
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics	No	$34	86¢	95¢	+$3
Meituan matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	No	$47	93¢	73¢	-$10
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech	Yes	$20	41¢	57¢	+$8
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech	No	$22	74¢	90¢	+$5
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	No	$19	94¢	96¢	+$0
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Tech	Yes	$16	31¢	33¢	+$1
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics	No	$14	71¢	74¢	+$1
Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	Yes	$2	3.1¢	26¢	+$11
US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics	No	$5	89¢	97¢	+$0
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$4	10¢	12¢	+$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$1	0.1¢	0.3¢	+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$15	26¢	0.0¢	-$15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$45	90¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics	NoResolved	$12	24¢	0.0¢	-$12

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$199

Tech+$27

Biggest hit

+$93

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Toughest beat

-$114

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Recent moves

Bought No · DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$4211h ago
Bought No · Meituan matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$4711h ago
Bought No · Trump out as President before 2027?$192d ago
Bought Yes · Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$22d ago
Bought Yes · Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?$43d ago
Bought No · DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$54d ago
Bought No · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$146d ago
Bought Yes · Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?$06d ago
Bought Yes · Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?$156d ago
Bought Yes · Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?$16d ago
Bought Yes · Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?$136d ago
Bought Yes · Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?$76d ago