← Whale Watch

Nigel364

Predicting since Apr 20252,380 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.1K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $758 riding on Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$75827¢11¢-$459
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?PoliticsNo$1435¢87¢+$21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$5059¢38¢-$18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$3013¢8.5¢-$10
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$2539¢30¢-$6
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$108.0¢14¢+$8
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2512¢8.5¢-$7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2533¢22¢-$8
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$2666¢32¢-$13
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$2126¢13¢-$10
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$202.1¢1.1¢-$10
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$517¢19¢+$1
Ben Pasternak jailed?CryptoYes$148.3¢1.4¢-$12
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?TechYesResolved$208.4¢0.0¢-$20
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?TechYesResolved$23.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1057¢0.0¢-$10
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$902.8¢0.0¢-$90
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$168.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$205.0¢0.0¢-$20
Kash Patel out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$14235¢0.0¢-$142
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$282.8¢0.0¢-$28
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$54.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$54.2¢0.0¢-$5
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2713¢0.0¢-$27
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$715¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.1K
Crypto+$604
Boxing+$251
Tennis-$155
Mentions+$125
NHL-$86
NBA-$55
Culture-$44
Tech+$31
MLB-$20
Premier League+$15
Economy-$11
Biggest hit
+$457
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Toughest beat
-$398
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?