 Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $188 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $166 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $111 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$15 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $71 | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$11 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $64 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$15 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $20 | 41¢ | 96¢ | +$26 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $24 | 47¢ | 64¢ | +$9 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Politics | No | $9 | 33¢ | 69¢ | +$10 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $17 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $15 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 66¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $15 | 48¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $12 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $14 | 85¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $10 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $9 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?Politics | No | $9 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $9 | 49¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $8 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Politics | Yes | $8 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 66¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $7 | 70¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $7 | 69¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $5 | 45¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Politics | Yes | $4 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September?Politics | Yes | $8 | 84¢ | 45¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $4 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $6 | 59¢ | 43¢ | -$2 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $4 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?Politics | Yes | $6 | 78¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $4 | 84¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $5 | 90¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $4 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 71¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 43¢ | 14¢ | -$7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 26¢ | 6.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | No | $3 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
 Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffseSports | Marsborne | $4 | 80¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 87¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?Politics | Yes | $3 | 64¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September?Politics | Yes | $4 | 81¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 59¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 70¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $3 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 68¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 34¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump say "Printer" or "Printing" in September?Mentions | Yes | $3 | 62¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $3 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 54¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 66¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 46¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 29¢ | -$1 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?Politics | No | $3 | 54¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 18¢ | 7.0¢ | -$2 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 52¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 32¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $52 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Other sports | YesResolved | $4 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump say "Dell" in September?$511h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?$521h ago
Bought No · Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 17, 2026?$11d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?$51d ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$162d ago