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BloodyMummer

Predicting since Jan 2025787 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $57K on Politics markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $2.7K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.0K on Will another country strike Iran by March 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K77¢79¢+$27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K58¢80¢+$474
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K91¢97¢+$88
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K63¢73¢+$166
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$73158¢93¢+$437
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K82¢80¢-$32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$87797¢100¢+$21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$60850¢61¢+$128
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$66578¢85¢+$64
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$62870¢79¢+$76
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$61176¢78¢+$8
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$40267¢94¢+$162
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$48448¢48¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$27268¢100¢+$126
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$23684¢100¢+$45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$38554¢39¢-$107
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026?PoliticsNo$18387¢92¢+$9
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17094¢97¢+$5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$20852¢31¢-$86
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$9986¢90¢+$4
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?PoliticsNo$9784¢85¢+$2
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNo$9292¢98¢+$5
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026?PoliticsNo$4784¢89¢+$3
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$3486¢91¢+$2
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?PoliticsNo$3485¢87¢+$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$3084¢90¢+$2
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2483¢82¢-$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 1, 2026?PoliticsNo$1785¢89¢+$1
Will there be no change to Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$206.0¢0.0¢-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K71¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Viktor Nikoliuk be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$192.4¢0.0¢-$19

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$57K
Culture+$1.2K
Tech+$515
Other+$371
Mentions+$129
Economy+$100
World Cup+$98
Crypto+$41
eSports+$24
Biggest hit
+$3.0K
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$1.7K2m ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$48216m ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$841h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$1123h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$29210h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$40020h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$27521h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$1721h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$82621h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$82121h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$221h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$60822h ago