← Whale Watch

NoPeeking

Predicting since Jan 20251,065 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.0K on Economy markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $4.4K riding on Fed rate hike in 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.2K79¢76¢-$208
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$4.4K43¢33¢-$1.1K
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$1.5K65¢86¢+$475
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$2.6K50¢14¢-$1.9K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$97065¢42¢-$347
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$61450¢34¢-$190
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$20941¢66¢+$127
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?EconomyYes$34270¢66¢-$22
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$703.5¢10¢+$133
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10050¢100¢+$100
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?EconomyYes$7515¢37¢+$110
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$13869¢80¢+$21
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$1979.4¢7.0¢-$50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsNo$24617¢9.5¢-$108
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?EconomyNo$7745¢74¢+$50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$5339¢85¢+$63
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$12956¢39¢-$39
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$563.7¢5.1¢+$21
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$10727¢16¢-$42
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$4764¢84¢+$14
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?EconomyYes$5226¢28¢+$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4521¢25¢+$8
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$6611¢8.5¢-$15
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?PoliticsYes$6012¢10¢-$10
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsYes$9045¢25¢-$40
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?PoliticsYes$10119¢9.0¢-$54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$12249¢18¢-$77
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4221¢20¢-$3
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$54144¢2.5¢-$510
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$12361¢15¢-$92
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$87.0¢27¢+$22
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsYes$2830¢32¢+$1
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2525¢26¢+$1
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?EconomyYes$5010¢5.0¢-$25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$5115¢7.0¢-$27
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4623¢12¢-$23
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?PoliticsYes$7515¢4.5¢-$53
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?PoliticsYes$2511¢9.5¢-$3
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$1919¢20¢+$1
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$10242¢8.1¢-$83
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$10010.0¢0.9¢-$90
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19019¢0.7¢-$183
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?PoliticsYes$40.5¢0.7¢+$1
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$383.8¢0.4¢-$33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$7422¢0.8¢-$72
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?PoliticsYes$30.7¢0.4¢-$1
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$13655¢0.0¢-$136
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$15114¢0.0¢-$151
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?PoliticsYesResolved$21672¢0.0¢-$216
Will England win on 2026-07-15?World CupYesResolved$10535¢0.0¢-$105
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)TennisZverevResolved$13153¢0.0¢-$131
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$515.1¢0.0¢-$51
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$333.3¢0.0¢-$33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWorld CupSwitzerlandResolved$4916¢0.0¢-$49
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?EconomyYesResolved$17525¢0.0¢-$175

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Economy-$3.0K
NBA-$1.7K
Soccer (other)+$1.2K
Politics+$1.2K
World Cup-$525
Champions League-$433
Premier League-$379
Mentions-$272
Tech+$270
NFL+$218
Other sports-$211
Formula 1-$96
Biggest hit
+$836
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?$231d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?$01d ago
  • Bought No · Fed rate hike in 2026?$212d ago
  • Bought No · Fed rate hike in 2026?$563d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?$34d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?$14d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?$215d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?$45d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?$55d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?$16d ago