Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $252 | 49¢ | 44¢ | -$27 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?Tech | Yes | $214 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$5 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $140 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$5 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $158 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$41 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $119 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$14 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $78 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Tech | Yes | $88 | 66¢ | 59¢ | -$9 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $58 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech | No | $36 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$6 |
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech | No | $32 | 32¢ | 37¢ | +$6 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 55¢ | 45¢ | -$4 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $23 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 7.1¢ | 18¢ | +$9 |
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $13 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 37¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | No | $9 | 31¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Tech | Yes | $12 | 3.8¢ | 3.3¢ | -$2 |
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 10¢ | 6.4¢ | -$5 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?Tech | Yes | $8 | 69¢ | 49¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $8 | 1.8¢ | 1.3¢ | -$2 |
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | No | $6 | 33¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$0 |
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Tech | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 8.8¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 24¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $4 | 32¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 18¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | No | $3 | 41¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $4 | 10¢ | 6.6¢ | -$1 |
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 48¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.1¢ | 7.8¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.9¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in July 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 22 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will June 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Finance | UpResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |