 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $339 | 57¢ | 66¢ | +$48 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $240 | 58¢ | 68¢ | +$39 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $55 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$12 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $43 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$11 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$4 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $8 | 5.7¢ | 14¢ | +$12 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $27 | 56¢ | 37¢ | -$10 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $21 | 43¢ | 31¢ | -$6 |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $11 | 71¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 70¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 54¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather | Yes | $2 | 19¢ | 54¢ | +$4 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $6 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $8 | 16¢ | 7.0¢ | -$4 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.7¢ | 4.7¢ | +$1 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 37¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Tech | Yes | $4 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 51¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.3¢ | 4.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $1 | 8.0¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.5¢ | 4.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.8¢ | 5.5¢ | -$0 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?Tech | Yes | $2 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 4.0¢ | +$2 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.3¢ | 3.8¢ | -$1 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 3.5¢ | 4.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 22¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | No | $3 | 18¢ | 7.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | Yes | $1 | 2.4¢ | 1.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 22 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will June 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Finance | UpResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will June 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |