← Whale Watch

Degovnerd

Predicting since Sep 2025335 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1069¢85¢+$2
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$1859¢38¢-$7
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1041¢43¢+$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$112.2¢1.8¢-$2
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?CryptoYes$2128¢11¢-$13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1049¢36¢-$3
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$116.0¢3.0¢-$5
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?TechNo$578¢81¢+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechYes$583¢87¢+$0
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$591¢94¢+$0
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?PoliticsYes$588¢87¢-$0
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$534¢32¢-$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?TechYes$358¢80¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$577¢57¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$711¢6.0¢-$3
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?PoliticsYes$597¢68¢-$2
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?PoliticsYes$512¢8.0¢-$2
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$579¢51¢-$2
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$530¢19¢-$2
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$582¢45¢-$2
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$519¢8.5¢-$3
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?PoliticsYes$534¢14¢-$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$130¢58¢+$1
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?TechYes$588¢33¢-$3
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?TechYes$560¢22¢-$3
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$526¢7.5¢-$4
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$60.7¢0.1¢-$5
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?TechYes$251¢30¢-$1
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$155¢61¢+$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$191¢97¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$110
Culture+$71
Tech-$35
Politics+$25
Finance-$15
World Cup+$11
Economy+$4
NBA-$3
eSports-$3
Premier League-$2
Mentions-$2
Weather-$1
Biggest hit
+$53
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Toughest beat
-$21
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$53d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$54d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$54d ago
  • Bought Yes · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$54d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$16d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$157d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$387d ago