Degovnerd

Predicting since Sep 2025356 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$10	69¢	93¢	+$3
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	78¢	99¢	+$3
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$10	41¢	51¢	+$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	65¢	60¢	-$1
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$12	2.2¢	1.7¢	-$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	52¢	43¢	-$2
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics	Yes	$18	59¢	22¢	-$11
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Economy	No	$5	91¢	98¢	+$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Crypto	Yes	$21	28¢	7.0¢	-$16
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Tech	Yes	$5	95¢	99¢	+$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?Politics	Yes	$5	97¢	99¢	+$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$5	64¢	65¢	+$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$5	76¢	77¢	+$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech	Yes	$3	58¢	94¢	+$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	49¢	23¢	-$5
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$11	6.0¢	2.4¢	-$7
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	44¢	17¢	-$6
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	12¢	9.0¢	-$1
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech	Yes	$2	51¢	83¢	+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$2	50¢	80¢	+$1
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech	Yes	$5	88¢	51¢	-$2
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$5	26¢	13¢	-$3
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$5	34¢	16¢	-$3
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics	Yes	$5	53¢	23¢	-$3
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech	No	$5	78¢	31¢	-$3
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Politics	Yes	$5	34¢	11¢	-$3
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$7	11¢	2.4¢	-$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	77¢	21¢	-$4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$1	14¢	18¢	+$0
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Tech	Yes	$5	60¢	14¢	-$4
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather	No	$1	91¢	97¢	+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$5	19¢	4.0¢	-$4
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?Politics	Yes	$1	88¢	90¢	+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$118

Culture+$71

Tech-$39

Politics+$21

Finance-$20

World Cup+$11

Economy+$4

NBA-$3

eSports-$3

Premier League-$2

Mentions-$2

Weather-$1

Biggest hit

+$53

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Toughest beat

-$21

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Up · Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?$116h ago
Bought CDU · Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne?$116h ago
Bought Yes · Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?$116h ago
Sold Yes · Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$516h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?$016h ago
Bought Yes · Will Ethena reach $0.36 in September?$13d ago
Bought Yes · Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?$13d ago
Bought Yes · Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?$13d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?$405d ago
Cashed out No · Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?$235d ago
Cashed out No · Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$25d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?$06d ago