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Chococremeux

Predicting since Jun 20251,917 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$25479¢96¢+$53
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$28684¢90¢+$20
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$15761¢71¢+$24
Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?NHLNo$14370¢83¢+$27
USMCA extended in 2026?PoliticsNo$11056¢67¢+$22
Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?NHLNo$8794¢98¢+$3
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$8279¢85¢+$6
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$8580¢69¢-$12
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$5966¢73¢+$6
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$5769¢78¢+$7
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$4574¢90¢+$10
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?PoliticsNo$4078¢90¢+$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5426¢20¢-$13
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?NHLNo$3971¢69¢-$1
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$3280¢86¢+$2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$3065¢74¢+$4
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$2756¢70¢+$7
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLNo$2675¢87¢+$4
Will St. Louis Blues be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?OtherNo$2890¢98¢+$2
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3072¢69¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$1841¢64¢+$10
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2554¢63¢+$4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3114¢13¢-$3
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?PoliticsNo$2066¢90¢+$7
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2778¢75¢-$1
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1889¢93¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1654¢55¢+$0
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$4939¢13¢-$33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1572¢76¢+$1
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1411¢11¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?PoliticsNo$1166¢82¢+$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsYes$2135¢22¢-$8
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1280¢78¢-$0
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1261¢59¢-$0
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$983¢96¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?PoliticsNo$983¢93¢+$1
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$1088¢87¢-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$1254¢43¢-$2
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$958¢57¢-$0
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$880¢91¢+$1
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$879¢91¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsNo$977¢79¢+$0
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$2520¢7.0¢-$16
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$880¢88¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?PoliticsNo$881¢88¢+$1
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$774¢88¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?PoliticsNo$329¢81¢+$5
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsNo$77.8¢10¢+$2
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?PoliticsNo$653¢71¢+$2
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?PoliticsNo$3320¢5.0¢-$25
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$1017¢13¢-$2
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?PoliticsYes$45.0¢9.0¢+$3
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsYes$1016¢12¢-$3
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$663¢70¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$545¢63¢+$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$556¢68¢+$1
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherYes$935¢22¢-$3
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$336¢60¢+$2
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?PoliticsYes$26.6¢14¢+$3
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1523¢8.5¢-$9
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$43.3¢4.9¢+$2
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$45.9¢8.5¢+$2
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$342¢84¢+$3
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?PoliticsNo$430¢34¢+$1
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$542¢44¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?PoliticsNo$513¢13¢-$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?PoliticsYes$629¢23¢-$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$472¢76¢+$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?PoliticsYes$47.4¢9.0¢+$1
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$472¢88¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?PoliticsNo$478¢87¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$575¢72¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$328¢43¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$744¢28¢-$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$546¢38¢-$1
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsNo$471¢57¢-$1
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$312¢13¢+$0
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$378¢88¢+$0
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$239¢63¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$333¢32¢-$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$359¢57¢-$0
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsYes$521¢11¢-$3
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?PoliticsYes$25.0¢8.0¢+$1
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$316¢16¢-$0
UK Recession in 2026?EconomyNo$262¢74¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$318¢16¢-$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsNo$321¢16¢-$1
Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?NHLYes$24.0¢5.6¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$256¢57¢+$0
Will Toronto Maple Leafs be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?NHLYes$25.4¢5.0¢-$0
Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?NHLYes$215¢19¢+$0
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? PoliticsYes$16.0¢8.5¢+$1
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?PoliticsYes$38.7¢5.5¢-$1
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?PoliticsYes$114¢17¢+$0
Will Washington Capitals be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?NHLYes$15.0¢8.0¢+$1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$13.7¢5.1¢+$0
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.5¢0.4¢-$1
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$15.0¢5.5¢+$0
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$12.7¢3.9¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$143¢78¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$532
NHL+$129
Olympics+$19
Other sports+$15
Tech+$11
Weather+$8
Mentions+$8
UFC / MMA-$6
Culture+$5
Hockey (other)+$4
MLB+$3
World Cup-$3
Biggest hit
+$49
North Korea missile test by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$34
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?$520m ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?$520m ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?$520m ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?$620m ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?$420m ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?$148m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?$150m ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?$89h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?$113h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$020h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?$122h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?$322h ago