← Whale Watch

Extra-Large-Begonia

Predicting since Dec 2020689 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $417K on Politics markets since Dec 2020.

Right now: $214K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$40K on US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$51K95¢99¢+$2.2K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$26K66¢66¢-$242
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$20K85¢93¢+$1.8K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$19K84¢88¢+$826
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$14K86¢90¢+$595
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$12K75¢88¢+$2.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.1K81¢81¢-$30
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.8K81¢95¢+$867
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.9K81¢100¢+$915
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.2K83¢95¢+$315
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K92¢94¢+$59
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$1.7K67¢74¢+$181
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K80¢98¢+$311
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K72¢88¢+$260
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K96¢100¢+$47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K85¢95¢+$132
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$1.3K65¢60¢-$111
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$99884¢93¢+$100
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$90956¢56¢-$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$79587¢97¢+$88
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.0K53¢38¢-$304
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$48067¢83¢+$109
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$48286¢93¢+$36
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$44789¢92¢+$11
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$32397¢100¢+$9
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$28592¢95¢+$8
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$18681¢75¢-$14
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$14480¢88¢+$14
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$12583¢81¢-$2
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7144¢56¢+$20
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$8186¢82¢-$4
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$39666¢12¢-$327
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$4981¢86¢+$3
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$3895¢98¢+$1
Will Trump resign before 2027?PoliticsNo$3193¢96¢+$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1575¢92¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1153¢56¢+$1
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$286¢96¢+$0
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$190¢97¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$191¢96¢+$0
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$7.2K90¢0.0¢-$7.2K
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$77K59¢0.0¢-$77K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K62¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPoliticsYesResolved$8.2K73¢0.0¢-$8.2K
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$4.6K65¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$32931¢0.0¢-$329
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$6722¢0.0¢-$67
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$134K87¢0.0¢-$134K
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$9393¢0.0¢-$93
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$31476¢0.0¢-$314
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$45K99¢0.0¢-$45K
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?PoliticsYesResolved$419¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?PoliticsYesResolved$3033.9¢0.0¢-$303
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$84091¢0.0¢-$840
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYesResolved$5511¢0.0¢-$55
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$26555¢0.0¢-$265
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$1303.9¢0.0¢-$130
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsNoResolved$41972¢0.0¢-$419
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$30K63¢0.0¢-$30K
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$61272¢0.0¢-$612
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2.9K55¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$16.6¢0.0¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K66¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?PoliticsYesResolved$30511¢0.0¢-$305
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$143.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?CultureNoResolved$71990¢0.0¢-$719
Iran leadership change by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11221¢0.0¢-$112
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$17K76¢0.0¢-$17K
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3691¢0.0¢-$36
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNoResolved$14189¢0.0¢-$141
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K84¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10653¢0.0¢-$106
Will Trump visit China by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$28987¢0.0¢-$289
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$87853¢0.0¢-$878
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?PoliticsNoResolved$8854¢0.0¢-$88
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsYesResolved$78071¢0.0¢-$780
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$47495¢0.0¢-$474
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?PoliticsYesResolved$2953.9¢0.0¢-$295
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?PoliticsYesResolved$773.9¢0.0¢-$77
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$864¢0.0¢-$8
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K63¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsNoResolved$30785¢0.0¢-$307
Will Trump visit China by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K58¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16229¢0.0¢-$162
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K25¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$12542¢0.0¢-$125
Government shutdown on Saturday?PoliticsYesResolved$6784¢0.0¢-$67
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$923¢0.0¢-$9
GPT ads by March 31?TechNoResolved$9081¢0.0¢-$90
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3457¢0.0¢-$34
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$25375¢0.0¢-$253
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4741¢0.0¢-$47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K70¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$13174¢0.0¢-$131
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.9K84¢0.0¢-$4.9K
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$616¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$417K
Other+$5.8K
Culture+$3.7K
Economy-$1.9K
Boxing+$1.8K
Finance+$1.6K
Tech+$1.5K
Champions League+$1.2K
Crypto+$878
Other sports+$854
Soccer (other)+$161
Mentions+$110
Biggest hit
+$40K
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$211K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$131h ago
  • Sold No · Trump out as President before 2027?$182h ago
  • Sold No · Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1069h ago
  • Sold No · Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$369h ago
  • Sold No · Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$212h ago
  • Sold No · Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$212h ago
  • Sold No · Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4014h ago
  • Sold No · Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$114h ago
  • Sold No · Trump out as President before 2027?$2514h ago
  • Sold No · Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3815h ago
  • Sold No · Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1915h ago
  • Sold No · Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1915h ago