 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $555 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$29 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $100 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $34 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$7 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $27 | 27¢ | 29¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 33¢ | 21¢ | -$16 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 66¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 18¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 6.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.2¢ | 11¢ | +$5 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 7.0¢ | 23¢ | +$5 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 56¢ | 31¢ | -$5 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.4¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 4.3¢ | 1.8¢ | -$6 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 58¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 37¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 8.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 31¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.9¢ | 3.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 9.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$9 |
 Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 8.2¢ | 3.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 7.2¢ | +$1 |
 Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Panama concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Sweden concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $81 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
| Will Saudi Arabia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$61h ago
Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$112h ago
Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$313h ago