← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Dec 2025831 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.2K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$16032¢31¢-$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$9393¢99¢+$6
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$9898¢98¢+$0
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$9795¢95¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$9595¢95¢+$0
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$9494¢94¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$8484¢86¢+$2
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$7676¢72¢-$5
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5971¢69¢-$2
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$5656¢56¢+$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$5555¢56¢+$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$5226¢26¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$4691¢98¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsYes$4487¢97¢+$5
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4896¢96¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4888¢88¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4895¢95¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4793¢94¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$4691¢94¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4691¢91¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsYes$4589¢90¢+$0
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$4590¢89¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4283¢84¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4284¢83¢-$1
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$4080¢79¢-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3938¢38¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4214¢12¢-$5
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3873¢69¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3468¢68¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3468¢67¢-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$4683¢53¢-$17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2814¢14¢+$1
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?PoliticsNo$3416¢13¢-$6
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2727¢27¢-$0
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$2788¢87¢-$0
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$2789¢89¢-$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceNo$2754¢52¢-$1
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsYes$2652¢51¢-$1
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$2412¢13¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$1926¢28¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$2345¢42¢-$2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2020¢20¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2040¢41¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2424¢20¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceYes$265.2¢3.9¢-$7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$2526¢20¢-$6
Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1995¢95¢-$0
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherNo$1786¢88¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1794¢95¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1783¢81¢-$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$1733¢28¢-$2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$2040¢24¢-$8
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$1042¢42¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1095¢95¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$993¢94¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$993¢94¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$991¢92¢+$0
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$869¢70¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceNo$3131¢7.5¢-$24
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$282¢83¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$292¢95¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$186¢83¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.2K
Finance-$1.7K
Mentions-$54
Tech+$49
Economy-$37
Weather+$21
UFC / MMA-$17
Other-$16
Crypto-$11
NFL+$8
Hockey (other)+$7
Soccer (other)-$6
Biggest hit
+$239
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$312
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$221m ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$1058m ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$2758m ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$12h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$452h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$152h ago
  • MERGE Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$302h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$63h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$294h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$407h ago
  • Sold No · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$87h ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$77h ago