← Whale Watch

0x0C2c51CD59335D6e5b1aFA6ED865C1E7F352DCe3-1771502209336

Predicting since Feb 2026604 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$33583¢99¢+$65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$27770¢85¢+$56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$17074¢73¢-$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$12685¢87¢+$3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$5047¢84¢+$40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$4384¢87¢+$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$4085¢94¢+$4
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4080¢86¢+$3
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$3685¢99¢+$6
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4090¢94¢+$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsNo$3071¢99¢+$12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4077¢77¢-$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$1641¢99¢+$23
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsNo$2048¢92¢+$18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$3085¢95¢+$3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$3182¢85¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3086¢92¢+$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsNo$3077¢79¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsNo$3185¢82¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$2189¢93¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$2092¢98¢+$1
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$2095¢99¢+$1
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2095¢98¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$2068¢69¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$2086¢88¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2065¢65¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2088¢84¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2058¢55¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$2046¢42¢-$2
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$1571¢80¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsNo$2867¢38¢-$12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1591¢94¢+$0
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?PoliticsNo$1075¢95¢+$3
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 24?PoliticsNo$1188¢98¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?PoliticsNo$1185¢88¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsNo$1185¢85¢-$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1093¢99¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$1095¢100¢+$1
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$1083¢87¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$1060¢63¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsYes$1090¢91¢+$0
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?PoliticsNo$1086¢87¢+$0
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$1096¢96¢+$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1096¢96¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1092¢92¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$1094¢94¢+$0
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$1081¢78¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1071¢68¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$3242¢13¢-$23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$1058¢55¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$1076¢65¢-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$1386¢51¢-$5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1064¢47¢-$3
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?PoliticsYes$583¢83¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$582¢81¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2011¢1.9¢-$16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2258¢9.0¢-$19
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$387¢94¢+$0
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 23?PoliticsNo$275¢99¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$581¢43¢-$2
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$293¢96¢+$0
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$286¢89¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1424¢3.4¢-$12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$554¢21¢-$3
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?PoliticsYes$162¢66¢+$0
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$161¢0.0¢-$1
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?PoliticsNoResolved$262¢0.0¢-$2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3629¢0.0¢-$36
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$1323¢0.0¢-$13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$276¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?CultureYesResolved$182¢0.0¢-$1
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$179¢0.0¢-$1
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$730¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$232¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)World CupUnited StatesResolved$584¢0.0¢-$5
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYesResolved$468¢0.0¢-$4
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?CultureYesResolved$167¢0.0¢-$1
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$160¢0.0¢-$1
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$279¢0.0¢-$2
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$173¢0.0¢-$1
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$185¢0.0¢-$1
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$254¢0.0¢-$2
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5World CupUnderResolved$1084¢0.0¢-$10
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$4149¢0.0¢-$41
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1142¢0.0¢-$11
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupNoResolved$563¢0.0¢-$5
Will England win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$282¢0.0¢-$2
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$1097¢0.0¢-$10
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$187¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$847
World Cup-$132
Crypto-$18
Mentions-$9
Culture+$5
Finance-$4
NFL-$3
Biggest hit
+$306
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$104h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$104h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$105h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$105h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?$105h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?$105h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$206h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$56h ago
  • Bought No · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$106h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$107h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$307h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$307h ago